3:00 Musselburgh Tips

This horse was unlucky last time out, running at a track that did not suit. It comes into this match well handicapped and with solid form behind horses that have performed well at Royal Ascot. I have to fancy this horse.

To be honest, I feel like they have looked to campaign this horse over much further than warranted due to the horse's relatives. In reality, the shorter trip suits, and although a bit of a jump back in trip, it has to be of interest here over the extended mile.

My first bet of July and potentially only of Tuesday comes in the form of CASTLE STUART at 9/2. A case can be made for The Trickster, however I Am Me ran on Monday so is unlikely to take up this engagement and Individualism has to overcome C Johnston’s 1/28 record (A/E 0.15) with fancied runners over 9f. P Mulrennan is a negative jockey booking for Silent Age given his 2% SR (A/E 0.38) on outsiders in July and King Power’s 2% SR (A/E 0.3) with outsiders coming down in trip puts Bubbles Wonky up against it. Plenty of negative unfancied stats for R Scott makes Rhythm Master hard to side with so this looks down to the jolly and CS in my eyes. The latter, trained by K Burke, has won once from 5 starts and looked like he needed the run over a mile here at Musselburgh in April. That sole win came over 8.5f and he’s got an extra 1/2f to get into top gear with a top jockey in S James around this course (21% SR, A/E 1.34). Burke’s 27% SR (A/E 1.74) for Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum owned + bred runners adds further confidence.

Good stable. This one found 1 mile 2 furlongs on soft ground too much last time, finishing 5th at Chester. Prior to that run, won well at Hamilton over 1 mile 1 furlong, beat Indalo, recorded an RPR of 91. Back over that trip, this one looks to have a solid chance.

Two runs on turf for the 4-year-old this year. Getting his act together three weeks ago, winning a useful-looking handicap a shade cozy, by 2L, and the third in the race was beaten 6L+. Higher mark now, but there might be some more improvement in him.

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