Test Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks

Updated: 447 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Test Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Saratoga with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the Test Stakes have set for this year.

Test Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Test Stakes Preview

The Grade I Test Stakes takes place at the Saratoga Racetrack in August of each year, inaugurated in 1922 the race is restricted to three-year-old fillies only and contested over a distance of seven furlongs on the dirt. The race has served as a good trial for both the Filly & Mare Sprint at the Breeders' Cup as well as the Alabama Stakes here at Saratoga.

Test Stakes Picks

If you are interested in other predictions at Saratoga then head over to the Saratoga Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG handicappers and also compare those predictions to the runners who follow the trends when added below. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Test Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert handicappers on the racing predictions page.

Test Stakes Content

Quickest Run Test Stakes Renewals

Over the last 10 renewals, it was the Bob Baffert trained Gamine ridden by John R Velazquez who set the fastest winning time in the Test Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:20.83 was set when winning the race in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Wesley A Ward and jockey Joel Rosario with Chi Town Lady who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:23.87 in the 2022 renewal. Below are the top five quickest-run Test Stakes over the last 10 renewals.

  • 2020 - Gamine (1:20.83)
  • 2019 - Covfefe (1:21.26)
  • 2021 - Bella Sofia (1:21.54)
  • 2017 - American Gal (1:22.26)
  • 2014 - Sweet Reason (1:22.31)

Test Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Test Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse which won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Test Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Info) Info
2023
.00
(1) Pretty Mischievous (USA)
3/F 124lbs 37/20F (1 of 7)
Tyler Gaffalione
Brendan P Walsh (USA)
2022
1:23.87
(7) Chi Town Lady (USA)
3/F 118lbs 17/1 (7 of 7)
Joel Rosario
Wesley A Ward (USA)
2021
1:21.54
(8) Bella Sofia (USA)
3/F 118lbs 42/10 (8 of 8)
Luis Saez
Rudy Rodriguez (USA)
2020
1:20.83
(5) Gamine (USA)
3/F 123lbs 30/100F (4 of 5)
John R Velazquez
Bob Baffert (USA)
2019
1:21.26
(3) Covfefe (USA)
3/F 119lbs 13/4 (3 of 7)
Joel Rosario
Brad H Cox (USA)
2018
1:22.78
(6) Separationofpowers (USA)
3/F 120lbs 23/10F (6 of 8)
Jose L Ortiz
Chad C Brown (USA)
2017
1:22.26
(10) American Gal (USA)
3/F 118lbs 85/40F (10 of 10)
Jose L Ortiz
Simon Callaghan (USA)
2016
1:22.32
(1) Paola Queen (USA)
3/F 116lbs 55/1 (1 of 7)
Luis Saez
Gustavo Delgado (USA)
2015
1:22.81
(2) Cavorting (USA)
3/F 118lbs 14/5F (2 of 10)
Irad Ortiz Jr
Kiaran McLaughlin (USA)
2014
1:22.31
(7) Sweet Reason (USA)
3/F 122lbs 21/10F (6 of 10)
Irad Ortiz Jr
Leah Gyarmati (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Test Stakes have been based:

  • USA: 10 winners with an additional 13 placings from 75 runners
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners

Test Stakes Trainer Statistics

Here are some of the most active Test Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Trainer Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Chad C Brown 7 1 0 1 -3.70
Brad H Cox 3 1 0 2 +1.25
Bob Baffert 3 1 1 0 -1.70
Rudy Rodriguez 2 1 1 0 +3.20
Kiaran McLaughlin 2 1 0 0 +1.80
Simon Callaghan 2 1 0 1 +1.13
Leah Gyarmati 2 1 0 0 +1.10
Gustavo Delgado 1 1 0 0 +55.00
Wesley A Ward 1 1 0 0 +17.00
Brendan P Walsh 1 1 0 0 +1.85

Test Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Test Stakes over the last 10 renewals with all of Luis Saez, Joel Rosario, Irad Ortiz Jr & Jose L Ortiz having all won the race 2 times. Luis Saez winners have been Paola Queen (2016) & Bella Sofia (2021). Joel Rosario winners have been with Covfefe (2019) & Chi Town Lady (2022). Irad Ortiz Jr winners have been with Sweet Reason (2014) & Cavorting (2015). Jose L Ortiz's winners have been American Gal (2017) & Separationofpowers (2018).

Here are some of the most active Test Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Jockey Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Luis Saez 9 2 1 2 +52.20
Joel Rosario 9 2 2 1 +13.25
Irad Ortiz Jr 8 2 0 2 -1.10
Jose L Ortiz 7 2 1 2 -0.57
John R Velazquez 8 1 0 0 -6.70
Tyler Gaffalione 4 1 0 0 -1.15
Javier Castellano 7 0 2 0 -7.00
Flavien Prat 3 0 0 2 -3.00
Julien R Leparoux 3 0 0 0 -3.00
Manuel Franco 3 0 0 0 -3.00

Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 6, (1, 2), 1, 3, 1, 3, 3, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (71%) - No bigger than 52/5 (Career Place)
  • 10 / 10 (78%) - Not in a G2-3 (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (82%) - Highest Run is not G2/LST
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - Beaten no more -5½l (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - Ran on FS (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - Carried 118 - 122lbs (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - Within the first 7 of market
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - No bigger than 123/10 (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (87%) - Not in a G2/LST (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (89%) - Fewer than 2 starts (Trip)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Saratoga racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Test Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Test Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?

Test Stakes Trend Analysis

How competitive is the Test Stakes market?

When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2020 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Test Stakes, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $121 which is bet.

Post Positions of the Test Stakes Winners, Places & Shows

Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:

Year Win Place Show
2023 1 2 7
2022 7 6 1
2021 8 2 7
2020 5 6 1
2019 3 1 2

Best Course for a Test Stakes Prep Run?

The course which has produced the most winners of the Test Stakes is Belmont Park, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.

Top Performing Stallions in the Test Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Test Stakes, that stallion Into Mischief has produced 3 winners (2023,2020,2019).

Biggest Priced Winners of the Test Stakes & Performance of Favorites

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Paola Queen in 2016, winning for Gustavo Delgado at odds of 55/1 under the guidance of Luis Saez. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favorites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Test Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing handicappers on the best racing handicappers page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Test Stakes FAQs

Where is the Test Stakes run?

The Test Stakes is run that the Saratoga racetrack each year, you can get Saratoga racing predictions all season long as well as for Test Stakes.

When is the Test Stakes?

The Test Stakes takes place around August of each year at Saratoga.

Who won the Test Stakes?

The 2023 renewal of the Test Stakes was won by the Brendan P Walsh trained Pretty Mischievous who was ridden by Tyler Gaffalione in a time of .00, owned by Godolphin Racing Llc it was sent off at an SP of 37/20. You can view all the recent winners in the Test Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.

Who will win the Test Stakes?

On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the Test Stakes, you can do this on the Saratoga Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Saratoga all throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.

Who is the top trainer in the Test Stakes?

There is currently not a single trainer who is still in training who has won this race multiple times but you can see who ranks as the top trainers in the Test Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.

Who is the top jockey in the Test Stakes?

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Test Stakes over the last ten renewals, all with two wins Luis Saez, Joel Rosario, Irad Ortiz Jr & Jose L Ortiz. To see which other jockeys have a good record in the race, head over to the Test Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.

Do we have trends for the 2024 renewal of the Test Stakes?

The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of ten trends for the Test Stakes which can be found under the Test Stakes Trends section.

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