Sword Dancer Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Sword Dancer Stakes Preview

The Grade I Sword Dancer Stakes is named in honor of the 1959 Horse of the Year, Sword Dancer who was inducted into the Hall of Fame in 1977. The race features at Saratoga Racetrack in August of each year and is considered a prep race for the Breeders' Cup Turf, it's open to runners aged three or older and is contested over a distance of one and one-half miles on the turf.

Sword Dancer Stakes Picks

Our dedicated Saratoga Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG handicappers for the upcoming card that includes the Sword Dancer Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Saratoga throughout the season so be sure to head over there. Remember to bookmark the racing picks page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Quickest Run Sword Dancer Stakes Renewals

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 2:23.45 was set by Flintshire in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Chad C Brown and ridden by Javier Castellano. The slowest winning time was set in 2020 when Channel Maker won in a time of 2:34.86, booked to ride was Manuel Franco on this William Mott trained runner. Below are the top five quickest-run Sword Dancer Stakes over the last 10 renewals.

2016 - Flintshire (2:23.45)
2015 - Flintshire (2:23.77)
2018 - Glorious Empire (2:24.41)
2017 - Sadlers Joy (2:24.58)
2014 - Main Sequence (2:24.72)

Sword Dancer Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Sword Dancer Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse that won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Sword Dancer Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Info)	Info
2023 2:29.29	(3) Bolshoi Ballet (IRE) 5/H 120lbs 11/2 (2 of 6)	John R Velazquez A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022 2:28.92	(6) Gufo (USA) 5/H 122lbs 22/5 (6 of 10)	Joel Rosario Christophe Clement (USA)
2021 2:28.30	(2) Gufo (USA) 4/C 122lbs 51/20F (2 of 7)	Joel Rosario Christophe Clement (USA)
2020 2:34.86	(4) Channel Maker (CAN) 6/G 122lbs 8/1 (3 of 7)	Manuel Franco William Mott (USA)
2019 2:27.50	(7) Annals Of Time (USA) 6/H 118lbs 51/20F (7 of 9)	Javier Castellano Chad C Brown (USA)
2018 2:24.41	(1) Glorious Empire (IRE) 7/G 120lbs 157/10 (1 of 10)	Julien R Leparoux James Lawrence II (USA)
2017 2:24.58	(3) Sadlers Joy (USA) 4/C 120lbs 7/1 (3 of 7)	Julien R Leparoux Thomas Albertrani (USA)
2016 2:23.45	(6) Flintshire (GB) 6/H 124lbs 1/5F (6 of 7)	Javier Castellano Chad C Brown (USA)
2015 2:23.77	(2) Flintshire (GB) 5/H 122lbs 1/1F (2 of 8)	Vincent Cheminaud A Fabre (FR)
2014 2:24.72	(4) Main Sequence (USA) 5/G 123lbs 41/20F (4 of 7)	Rajiv Maragh H Graham Motion (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sword Dancer Stakes have been based:

USA: 8 winners with an additional 13 placings from 69 runners
IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Sword Dancer Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Sword Dancer Stakes over the last 10 renewals with both Chad C Brown & Christophe Clement who have both won the race 2 times. Chad C Brown winners have been with Flintshire (2016) & Annals Of Time (2019). Christophe Clement winners have been with Gufo (2021) & Gufo (2022).

Here are some of the most active Sword Dancer Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Trainer	Starts	1st	2nd	3rd	LSP
Chad C Brown	14	2	2	0	-9.25
Christophe Clement	4	2	1	1	+4.95
William Mott	8	1	1	0	+1.00
Thomas Albertrani	7	1	1	3	+1.00
A P O'Brien	5	1	1	0	+1.50
H Graham Motion	4	1	0	1	-0.95
James Lawrence II	1	1	0	0	+15.70
A Fabre	1	1	0	0	+1.00
Michael J Maker	9	0	1	3	-9.00
Todd Pletcher	5	0	1	1	-5.00

Sword Dancer Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Sword Dancer Stakes over the last 10 renewals with all of Javier Castellano, Joel Rosario & Julien R Leparoux having all won the race 2 times. Javier Castellano's winners have been with Flintshire (2016) & Annals Of Time (2019). Joel Rosario winners have been with Gufo (2021) & Gufo (2022). Julien R. Leparoux's winners have been with Sadlers Joy (2017) & Glorious Empire (2018).

Here are some of the most active Sword Dancer Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Jockey	Starts	1st	2nd	3rd	LSP
Javier Castellano	8	2	1	1	-3.25
Joel Rosario	6	2	2	0	+2.95
Julien R Leparoux	3	2	1	0	+21.70
John R Velazquez	8	1	0	1	-1.50
Manuel Franco	6	1	0	0	+3.00
Rajiv Maragh	1	1	0	0	+2.05
Vincent Cheminaud	1	1	0	0	+1.00
Jose L Ortiz	9	0	3	2	-9.00
Irad Ortiz Jr	7	0	1	1	-7.00
Luis Saez	4	0	0	3	-4.00

2024 Sword Dancer Stakes Trends

Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 1, 6, 6, 1, 2, 1, 4, 5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

10 / 10 (68%) - Highest Won is not G3/LST/Cl2-3
10 / 10 (73%) - Beaten no more -4¼l (Debut)
10 / 10 (76%) - Off a break of 28 - 62 days
10 / 10 (77%) - Not in a G1-2/LST/Cl3 (Debut)
10 / 10 (78%) - No bigger than 157/10
10 / 10 (81%) - Not BB/GR/RG in color
10 / 10 (81%) - Not on HY/GF/SLW/FS (Debut)
10 / 10 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 105+ (Last 3)
10 / 10 (83%) - In a field of 4 - 11 (Last Win)
10 / 10 (83%) - Dam is not ARG/AUS/BRZ/CAN/CHI/GER bred
10 / 10 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (Career)
10 / 10 (88%) - Within the first 7 of the market
9 / 10 (69%) - A RPR no less than 100 (Last 3)
9 / 10 (71%) - Made 1 - 11 starts (Jockey)
9 / 10 (71%) - Beaten no more -2¾l (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Saratoga racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Sword Dancer Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Sword Dancer Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?

Sword Dancer Stakes Trend Analysis

How competitive is the Sword Dancer Stakes market?

When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Sword Dancer Stakes, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $121 which is bet.

Post Positions of the Sword Dancer Stakes Winners, Places & Shows

Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:

Year	Win	Place	Show
2023	3	1	5
2022	6	10	8
2021	2	6	7
2020	4	6	2
2019	7	9	4

Best Course for a Sword Dancer Stakes Prep Run?

The course which has produced the most winners of the Sword Dancer Stakes is Saratoga, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out.

Top Performing Stallions in the Sword Dancer Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sword Dancer Stakes:

Dansili (2 Wins)
Declaration Of War (2 Wins)

Biggest Priced Winners of the Sword Dancer Stakes & Performance of Favorites

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Glorious Empire in 2018, winning for James Lawrence II at odds of 157/10 under the guidance of Julien R Leparoux. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favorites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing handicappers page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing handicappers. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Graded races at Saratoga racetrack

Here are some other notable races at the Saratoga racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in July

Races in August

Races in September

Sword Dancer Stakes FAQs

Where is the Sword Dancer Stakes run?

The Sword Dancer Stakes is run at the Saratoga racetrack each year, you can get Saratoga racing predictions all season long as well as for Sword Dancer Stakes.

When is the Sword Dancer Stakes?

The Sword Dancer Stakes takes place around August of each year at Saratoga.

Who won the Sword Dancer Stakes?

The 2023 renewal of the Sword Dancer Stakes was won by the A P OBrien trained Bolshoi Ballet which was ridden by John R Velazquez in a time of 2:29.29, owned by Mrs John Magniermichael Taborderrick Smithwesterberg it was sent off at an SP of 11/2. You can view all the recent winners in the Sword Dancer Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.

Who will win the Sword Dancer Stakes?

On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the Sword Dancer Stakes, you can do this on the Saratoga Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Saratoga all throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.

Who is the top trainer in the Sword Dancer Stakes?

We have joint leading trainers in the Sword Dancer Stakes over the last ten renewals, both with two wins are Chad C Brown & Christophe Clement. To see which other trainers have a good record in the race, head over to the Sword Dancer Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.

Who is the top jockey in the Sword Dancer Stakes?

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Sword Dancer Stakes over the last ten renewals, all with two wins Javier Castellano, Joel Rosario & Julien R Leparoux. To see which other jockeys have a good record in the race, head over to the Sword Dancer Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.

Do we have trends for the 2024 renewal of the Sword Dancer Stakes?

The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of fifteen trends for the Sword Dancer Stakes which can be found under the Sword Dancer Stakes Trends section.

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