American Pharoah Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks

Updated: 243 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the American Pharoah Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the American Pharoah Stakes, a race run over 1m½f at Santa Anita.

American Pharoah Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 American Pharoah Stakes Preview

Previously known as both the Norfolk Stakes and FrontRunner Stakes, the race in 2018 was renamed in honor of the 2015 Triple Crown winner American Pharoah who won this very race back in 2014. The American Pharoah Stakes takes place in September of each year and is run at Santa Anita over a distance of one and one-sixteenth miles on the dirt and is restricted to two-year-old runners only.

American Pharoah Stakes Picks

Our dedicated Santa Anita Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG handicappers for the upcoming card that includes the American Pharoah Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Santa Anita throughout the season so be sure to head over there. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a wager on the 2024 American Pharoah Stakes.

American Pharoah Stakes Content

Quickest Run American Pharoah Stakes Renewals

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:41.95 was set by American Pharoah in 2014, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Victor Espinoza. The slowest winning time was set in 2019 when Eight Rings won in a time of 1:45.41, booked to ride was John R Velazquez on this Bob Baffert trained runner. Below are the top five quickest-run American Pharoah Stakes over the last 10 renewals.

  • 2014 - American Pharoah (1:41.95)
  • 2023 - Muth (1:42.45)
  • 2022 - Cave Rock (1:43.05)
  • 2017 - Bolt DOro (1:43.54)
  • 2016 - Gormley (1:43.57)

American Pharoah Stakes Past Winners

Here are the American Pharoah Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse that won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the American Pharoah Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Info) Info
2023
1:42.45
(2) Muth (USA)
2/C 122lbs 2/5F (2 of 8)
Juan J Hernandez
Bob Baffert (USA)
2022
1:43.05
(5) Cave Rock (USA)
2/C 122lbs 2/5F (5 of 8)
Juan J Hernandez
Bob Baffert (USA)
2021
1:44.75
(1) Corniche (USA)
2/C 122lbs 2/5F (1 of 7)
Mike E Smith
Bob Baffert (USA)
2020
1:44.92
(6) Get Her Number (USA)
2/C 122lbs 81/10 (6 of 7)
Flavien Prat
Peter Miller (USA)
2019
1:45.41
(3) Eight Rings (USA)
2/C 122lbs 6/5F (3 of 9)
John R Velazquez
Bob Baffert (USA)
2018
1:43.77
(4) Game Winner (USA)
2/C 122lbs 30/100F (4 of 5)
Joel Rosario
Bob Baffert (USA)
2017
1:43.54
(4) Bolt DOro (USA)
2/C 122lbs 9/10F (4 of 9)
Corey S Nakatani
Mick Ruis (USA)
2016
1:43.57
(1) Gormley (USA)
2/C 122lbs 108/10 (1 of 6)
Victor Espinoza
John Shirreffs (USA)
2015
1:44.89
(4) Nyquist (USA)
2/C 122lbs 1/2F (4 of 8)
Mario Gutierrez
Doug O'Neill (USA)
2014
1:41.95
(7) American Pharoah (USA)
2/C 122lbs 1/2F (5 of 8)
Victor Espinoza
Bob Baffert (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the American Pharoah Stakes have been based:

  • USA: 10 winners with an additional 15 placings from 72 runners
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners

American Pharoah Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the American Pharoah Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Bob Baffert who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from American Pharoah (2014), Game Winner (2018), Eight Rings (2019), Corniche (2021), Cave Rock (2022) & Muth (2023). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the American Pharoah Stakes, J Keith Desormeaux has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the most active American Pharoah Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Trainer Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Bob Baffert 18 6 4 2 -8.80
Doug O'Neill 6 1 0 0 -4.50
Peter Miller 5 1 1 1 +4.10
John Shirreffs 4 1 0 0 +7.80
Mick Ruis 1 1 0 0 +0.90
J Keith Desormeaux 11 0 1 3 -11.00
John W Sadler 4 0 0 0 -4.00
Mark Casse 3 0 1 0 -3.00
Simon Callaghan 3 0 0 0 -3.00
Jerry Hollendorfer 2 0 1 1 -2.00

American Pharoah Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the American Pharoah Stakes over the last 10 renewals with both Victor Espinoza & Juan J Hernandez who have both won the race 2 times. Victor Espinoza winners have been with American Pharoah (2014) & Gormley (2016). Juan J Hernandez winners have been with Cave Rock (2022) & Muth (2023).

Here are some of the most active American Pharoah Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Jockey Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Victor Espinoza 5 2 0 0 +8.30
Juan J Hernandez 3 2 0 0 -0.20
Mike E Smith 7 1 1 1 -5.60
Flavien Prat 6 1 2 2 +3.10
Mario Gutierrez 3 1 0 0 -1.50
John R Velazquez 2 1 0 0 +0.20
Corey S Nakatani 2 1 0 0 -0.10
Joel Rosario 2 1 0 0 -0.70
Kent J Desormeaux 7 0 1 2 -7.00
Rafael Bejarano 4 0 1 0 -4.00

Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (48%) - No bigger than 54/5
  • 10 / 10 (57%) - No bigger than 15/2 (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (64%) - Furthest Placed 5f - 7f
  • 10 / 10 (67%) - Within the first 5 of the market
  • 10 / 10 (71%) - No bigger than 67/10 (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (72%) - No bigger than 15/2 (Career Place)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Beaten no more -4¼l (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - No bigger than 15/2 (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (75%) - Not CH/RG in color
  • 10 / 10 (76%) - Ran over 5f - 6½f (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Break of 18 - 56 days (Last Place)
  • 10 / 10 (87%) - Highest Placed is not G2/LST
  • 9 / 10 (48%) - Furthest Won 5f - 7f
  • 9 / 10 (87%) - In a field of 6 - 10 (LTO)
  • 9 / 10 (89%) - Ran in a Cl2 (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Santa Anita racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the American Pharoah Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the American Pharoah Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?

American Pharoah Stakes Trend Analysis

How competitive is the American Pharoah Stakes market?

When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2019 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the American Pharoah Stakes, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $122 which is bet.

Post Positions of the American Pharoah Stakes Winners, Places & Shows

Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:

Year Win Place Show
2023 2 4 6
2022 5 6 8
2021 1 7 4
2020 6 2 5
2019 3 1 5

Best Course for an American Pharoah Stakes Prep Run?

The course that has produced the most winners of the American Pharoah Stakes is Del Mar, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Del Mar last time out.

Biggest Priced Winners of the American Pharoah Stakes & Performance of Favorites

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Gormley in 2016, winning for John Shirreffs at odds of 108/10 under the guidance of Victor Espinoza. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favorites in the race. Remember to use the best racing handicappers along with the information on this page to find you a wager on the 2024 American Pharoah Stakes. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

American Pharoah Stakes FAQs

Where is the American Pharoah Stakes run?

The American Pharoah Stakes is run at the Santa Anita racetrack each year, you can get Santa Anita racing predictions all season long as well as for American Pharoah Stakes.

When is the American Pharoah Stakes?

The American Pharoah Stakes takes place around September of each year at Santa Anita.

Who won the American Pharoah Stakes?

The 2023 renewal of the American Pharoah Stakes was won by the Bob Baffert trained Muth who was ridden by Juan J Hernandez in a time of 1:42.45, owned by Zedan Racing Stables Inc it was sent off at an SP of 2/5. You can view all the recent winners in the American Pharoah Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.

Who will win the American Pharoah Stakes?

On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the American Pharoah Stakes, you can do this on the Santa Anita Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Santa Anita all throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.

Who is the top trainer in the American Pharoah Stakes?

With a total of six winners over the last ten renewals, it is Bob Baffert who holds the claim as the leading trainer in the American Pharoah Stakes. To see which other trainers have a good record in the race, head over to the American Pharoah Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.

Who is the top jockey in the American Pharoah Stakes?

We have joint leading jockeys in the American Pharoah Stakes over the last ten renewals, both with two wins are Victor Espinoza & Juan J Hernandez. To see which other jockeys have a good record in the race, head over to the American Pharoah Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.

Do we have trends for the 2024 renewal of the American Pharoah Stakes?

The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of fifteen trends for the American Pharoah Stakes which can be found under the American Pharoah Stakes Trends section.

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