Blue Grass Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks

2025 Blue Grass Stakes Preview

Upgraded back to a Grade I in 2022, the Blue Grass Stakes is a race that carries a $1m purse. Contested over one and one-eighth miles on the dirt (2007-14 it was run on an all-weather surface), the race is restricted to runners who are aged three.

When inaugurated in 1911 the race took place at Lexington until 1926 when it was removed, the race was brought back in 1937 and has been a fixture at Keeneland ever since.

Blue Grass Stakes Picks

To see which runners the OLBG handicappers are tipping throughout the card that includes the Blue Grass Stakes, head over to the Keeneland Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the trends or are they predicting other runners? Before placing your wager on the 2025 Blue Grass Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Blue Grass Stakes Content

• Blue Grass Stakes Past Winners
• Blue Grass Stakes Trainer Statistics
• Blue Grass Stakes Jockey Statistics
• 2025 Blue Grass Stakes Trends
• Blue Grass Stakes Trend Analysis
• Other Graded races at Keeneland Racetrack

Quickest Run Blue Grass Stakes Renewals

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:48.11 was set by Art Collector in 2020, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Thomas Drury Jr and ridden by Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr. The slowest winning time was set in 2019 when Vekoma won in a time of 1:50.93, booked to ride was Javier Castellano on this George Weaver trained runner. Below are the top three quickest-run Blue Grass Stakes over the last 10 renewals.

1. Art Collector (1:48.11) in 2020
2. Essential Quality (1:48.50) in 2021
3. Carpe Diem (1:49.77) in 2015

Blue Grass Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Blue Grass Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse that won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Blue Grass Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Blue Grass Stakes have been based:

• USA: 10 winners with an additional 17 placings from 102 runners
• CAN: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 9 runners

Blue Grass Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Blue Grass Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Chad C Brown who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Good Magic (2018), Zandon (2022) & Sierra Leone (2024). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Blue Grass Stakes is Todd Pletcher (2 wins).

Here are some of the most active Blue Grass Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Blue Grass Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Blue Grass Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Luis Saez who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Brodys Cause (2016), Essential Quality (2021) & Tapit Trice (2023).

Here are some of the most active Blue Grass Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals.

2025 Blue Grass Stakes Trends

Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 12, 3, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

• 10 / 10 (54%) - Within the first 6 of the market
• 10 / 10 (58%) - No bigger than 31/5 (LTO)
• 10 / 10 (64%) - No bigger than 71/10 (Debut)
• 10 / 10 (65%) - No bigger than 31/1
• 10 / 10 (66%) - Had 2 - 5 placings (Career)
• 10 / 10 (69%) - Carried 118 - 122lbs (LTO)
• 10 / 10 (69%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Career)
• 10 / 10 (70%) - Furthest Placed 1m½f - 1m1f
• 10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 34/1 (Career)
• 10 / 10 (76%) - Highest Run is not LST/Cl2
• 10 / 10 (78%) - Ran over 1m½f - 1m1f (LTO)
• 10 / 10 (82%) - Made 2 - 6 starts (Career)
• 10 / 10 (83%) - No bigger than 34/1 (Career Place)
• 10 / 10 (84%) - Not in a G3/LST (Debut)
• 10 / 10 (86%) - In a field of 5 - 11 (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Keeneland racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Blue Grass Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Blue Grass Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?

Blue Grass Stakes Trend Analysis

How competitive is the Blue Grass Stakes market?

When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2021 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Blue Grass Stakes, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $121 which is bet.

Post Positions of the Blue Grass Stakes Winners, Places & Shows

Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:

Best Course for a Blue Grass Stakes Prep Run?

The course that has produced the most winners of the Blue Grass Stakes is Tampa Bay Downs, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Tampa Bay Downs last time out.

Sex of Horse winners of the Blue Grass Stakes

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 10 winners from a total of 110 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Top Performing Stallions in the Blue Grass Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Blue Grass Stakes:

• Giants Causeway (2 Wins)
• Tapit (2 Wins)

Worst Performing Stallions in the Blue Grass Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Blue Grass Stakes, that stallion is Into Mischief who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Biggest Priced Winners of the Blue Grass Stakes & Performance of Favorites

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Irap in 2017, winning for Doug O'Neill at odds of 31/1 under the guidance of Julien R Leparoux. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favorites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Blue Grass Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing handicappers on the best racing handicappers page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Graded races at Keeneland racetrack

Here are some other notable races at the Keeneland racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in April

• Ashland Stakes
• Jenny Wiley Stakes
• Madison Stakes
• Makers Mark Mile Stakes

Races in October

• Alcibiades Stakes
• Breeders Futurity Stakes
• First Lady Stakes
• Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes
• Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup Stakes
• Spinster Stakes

Blue Grass Stakes FAQs

Where is the Blue Grass Stakes run?

The Blue Grass Stakes is run at the Keeneland racetrack each year, you can get Keeneland racing predictions all season long as well as for Blue Grass Stakes.

When is the Blue Grass Stakes?

The Blue Grass Stakes takes place around April of each year at Keeneland.

Who won the Blue Grass Stakes?

The 2024 renewal of the Blue Grass Stakes was won by the Chad C Brown trained Sierra Leone ridden by Tyler Gaffalione in a time of 1:50.08, owned by Mrs. John Magnier Michael B Tabor Et Al it was sent off at an SP of 5/3. You can view all the recent winners in the Blue Grass Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.

Who will win the Blue Grass Stakes?

On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the Blue Grass Stakes, you can do this on the Keeneland Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Keeneland throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.

Who is the top trainer in the Blue Grass Stakes?

With a total of three winners over the last ten renewals, it is Chad C Brown who holds the claim as the leading trainer in the Blue Grass Stakes. To see which other trainers have a good record in the race, head over to the Blue Grass Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.

Who is the top jockey in the Blue Grass Stakes?

With a total of three winners over the last ten renewals, it is Luis Saez who holds the claim as the leading jockey in the Blue Grass Stakes. To see which other jockeys have a good record in the race, head over to the Blue Grass Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.

Do we have trends for the 2025 renewal of the Blue Grass Stakes?

The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of fifteen trends for the Blue Grass Stakes which can be found under the Blue Grass Stakes Trends section.