Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks

Updated: 305 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Keeneland with the race being run over a distance of 1m, see which trends the past winners of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes have set for this year.

Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Preview

Established in 1986 and scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Keeneland racecourse is the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes which is currently sponsored by Coolmore. This G1 is open to runners who are three or older and is contested over a one-mile trip on turf, the winner of the race receives an automatic berth into next month's Breeders' Cup Mile.

Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Picks

We also have a dedicated Keeneland Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG handicappers are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. Before placing your wager on the 2024 Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Content

Quickest Run Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Renewals

Over the last 10 renewals, it was the Todd Pletcher trained Annapolis ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr who set the fastest winning time in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:33.29 was set when winning the race in 2022. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Brian A Lynch and jockey Luis Saez with Grand Arch who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:37.45 in the 2015 renewal. Below are the top five quickest-run Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes over the last 10 renewals.

  • 2022 - Annapolis (1:33.29)
  • 2020 - Ivar (1:33.99)
  • 2023 - Up To The Mark (1:34.18)
  • 2019 - Bowies Hero (1:34.20)
  • 2021 - In Love (1:34.84)

Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse that won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Info) Info
2023
1:34.18
(5) Up To The Mark (USA)
4/C 126lbs 23/10 (5 of 9)
Jose L Ortiz
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2022
1:33.29
(8) Annapolis (USA)
3/C 123lbs 127/20 (7 of 11)
Irad Ortiz Jr
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2021
1:34.84
(3) In Love (BRZ)
5/G 126lbs 123/10 (3 of 12)
Alexis Achard
Paulo H Lobo (USA)
2020
1:33.99
(11) Ivar (BRZ)
4/C 126lbs 144/10 (9 of 9)
Joseph Talamo
Paulo H Lobo (USA)
2019
1:34.20
(5) Bowies Hero (USA)
5/H 126lbs 41/5 (5 of 14)
Flavien Prat
Philip DAmato (USA)
2018
1:36.97
(1) Next Shares (USA)
5/G 126lbs 234/10 (1 of 13)
Tyler Gaffalione
Richard Baltas (USA)
2017
1:35.94
(3) Suedois (FR)
6/G 126lbs 97/10 (3 of 14)
Daniel Tudhope
David O'Meara (GB)
2016
1:37.04
(7) Miss Temple City (USA)
4/F 123lbs 77/10 (7 of 11)
Edgar S Prado
H Graham Motion (USA)
2015
1:37.45
(4) Grand Arch (USA)
6/G 126lbs 43/10 (3 of 12)
Luis Saez
Brian A Lynch (CAN)
2014
1:35.62
(6) Wise Dan (USA)
7/G 126lbs 9/10F (6 of 8)
John R Velazquez
Charles LoPresti (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes have been based:

  • USA: 8 winners with an additional 15 placings from 89 runners
  • CAN: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 12 runners
  • GB: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 9 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners

Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes over the last 10 renewals with both Todd Pletcher & Paulo H Lobo who have both won the race 2 times. Todd Pletcher winners have been with Annapolis (2022) & Up To The Mark (2023). Paulo H Lobo winners have been with Ivar (2020) & In Love (2021). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes, Chad C Brown has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the most active Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Trainer Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Todd Pletcher 5 2 0 0 +5.65
Paulo H Lobo 4 2 1 0 +24.70
Brian A Lynch 8 1 2 0 -2.70
David O'Meara 4 1 0 1 +6.70
H Graham Motion 4 1 0 0 +4.70
Richard Baltas 2 1 0 0 +22.40
Philip DAmato 2 1 0 0 +7.20
Charles LoPresti 1 1 0 0 +0.90
Chad C Brown 10 0 1 1 -10.00
William Mott 8 0 0 3 -8.00

Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the most active Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Jockey Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Tyler Gaffalione 6 1 0 1 +18.40
Jose L Ortiz 5 1 1 1 -1.70
Luis Saez 4 1 0 0 +1.30
John R Velazquez 4 1 0 0 -2.10
Joseph Talamo 3 1 1 0 +12.40
Daniel Tudhope 3 1 0 0 +7.70
Flavien Prat 3 1 0 0 +6.20
Edgar S Prado 3 1 0 0 +5.70
Alexis Achard 1 1 0 0 +12.30
Irad Ortiz Jr 1 1 0 0 +6.35

Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 5, (2, 4), 2, 4, 10, 8, 12, 9, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (64%) - Break of 28 - 176 days (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (66%) - Not on HY/GS/GD/GF/SLW/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (69%) - Had 1 - 3 wins (180 Days)
  • 10 / 10 (70%) - Made 3 - 6 starts (180 Days)
  • 10 / 10 (71%) - Carried 117 - 126lbs (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - No bigger than 117/5
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - No bigger than 93/10 (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (74%) - Is not ARG/CAN/CHI/GB/IRE bred
  • 10 / 10 (74%) - Beaten no more -2¾l (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (75%) - Won within last 4 starts
  • 10 / 10 (79%) - Not in CHL/ENG/IRL (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (82%) - Made 3 - 8 starts (Season)
  • 10 / 10 (86%) - Ran over 1mf - 1m2f (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (87%) - Off a break of 26 - 119 days
  • 10 / 10 (88%) - Ran over 1mf - 1m2f (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Keeneland racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?

Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Trend Analysis

How competitive is the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes market?

When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $121 which is bet.

Post Positions of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Winners, Places & Shows

Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:

Year Win Place Show
2023 5 1 4
2022 8 6 3
2021 3 5 13
2020 11 6 3
2019 5 7 12

Best Course for a Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Prep Run?

The course which has produced the most winners of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes is Saratoga, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Kentucky Downs, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Kentucky Downs last time out.

Sex of Horse winners of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 111 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 2 runners.

Top Performing Stallions in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes, that stallion Agnes Gold has produced 2 winners (2021,2020).

Worst Performing Stallions in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • English Channel (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Scat Daddy (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Biggest Priced Winners of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes & Performance of Favorites

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Next Shares in 2018, winning for Richard Baltas at odds of 234/10 under the guidance of Tyler Gaffalione. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 1 winning favorite in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes why not head over to the best racing handicappers page to see what the handicappers are backing today? All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Graded races at Keeneland racetrack

Here are some other notable races at the Keeneland racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in October

Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes FAQs

Where is the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes run?

The Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes is run at the Keeneland racetrack each year, you can get Keeneland racing predictions all season long as well as for Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes.

When is the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes?

The Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes takes place around October of each year at Keeneland.

Who won the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes?

The 2023 renewal of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes was won by the Todd Pletcher trained Up To The Mark who was ridden by Jose L Ortiz in a time of 1:34.18, owned by Repole Stable St Elias Stable it was sent off at an SP of 23/10. You can view all the recent winners in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.

Who will win the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes?

On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes, you can do this on the Keeneland Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Keeneland all throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.

Who is the top trainer in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes?

We have joint leading trainers in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes over the last ten renewals, both with two wins are Todd Pletcher & Paulo H Lobo. To see which other trainers have a good record in the race, head over to the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.

Who is the top jockey in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes?

There is currently not a single jockey who is still riding who has won this race multiple times but you can see who ranks as the top jockeys in the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.

Do we have trends for the 2024 renewal of the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes?

The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of fifteen trends for the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes which can be found under the Keeneland Turf Mile Stakes Trends section.

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