First Lady Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks

Updated: 203 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the First Lady Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the First Lady Stakes, a race run over 1m at Keeneland.

First Lady Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 First Lady Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in October of each year at the Keeneland racecourse is the First Lady Stakes, this G1 was established in 1998 and was previously known as the Galaxy Stakes but has been known by its current title since 2006. It is open to fillies and mares who are aged three or older and is contested over one mile on the dirt.

First Lady Stakes Picks

Our dedicated Keeneland Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG handicappers for the upcoming card that includes the First Lady Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Keeneland throughout the season so be sure to head over there. Before placing your wager on the 2024 First Lady Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

First Lady Stakes Content

Quickest Run First Lady Stakes Renewals

The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2018 renewal when A Raving Beauty from Chad C Brown under the guidance of John R Velazquez, won in a time of 1:37.78, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Uni, trained by Chad C Brown and ridden by Joel Rosario set the quickest time of 1:32.87 in the 2019 renewal. Below are the top five quickest-run First Lady Stakes over the last 10 renewals.

  • 2019 - Uni (1:32.87)
  • 2022 - In Italian (1:33.22)
  • 2023 - Gina Romantica (1:33.70)
  • 2021 - Blowout (1:34.86)
  • 2020 - Uni (1:34.90)

First Lady Stakes Past Winners

Here are the First Lady Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse that won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the First Lady Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Info) Info
2023
1:33.70
(1) Gina Romantica (USA)
4/F 124lbs 115/10 (1 of 8)
Tyler Gaffalione
Chad C Brown (USA)
2022
1:33.22
(4) In Italian (GB)
4/F 124lbs 20/7 (4 of 6)
Joel Rosario
Chad C Brown (USA)
2021
1:34.86
(9) Blowout (GB)
5/M 124lbs 53/10 (9 of 12)
Flavien Prat
Chad C Brown (USA)
2020
1:34.90
(5) Uni (GB)
6/M 124lbs 12/5 (4 of 5)
Joel Rosario
Chad C Brown (USA)
2019
1:32.87
(4) Uni (GB)
5/M 124lbs 3/1 (4 of 13)
Joel Rosario
Chad C Brown (USA)
2018
1:37.78
(2) A Raving Beauty (GER)
5/M 124lbs 16/5 (2 of 9)
John R Velazquez
Chad C Brown (USA)
2017
1:36.99
(5) Zipessa (USA)
5/M 124lbs 166/10 (5 of 7)
Joe Bravo
Michael Stidham (USA)
2016
1:35.62
(10) Photo Call (IRE)
5/M 124lbs 30/1 (10 of 10)
Kent J Desormeaux
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2015
1:37.04
(11) Tepin (USA)
4/F 124lbs 17/10F (11 of 11)
Julien R Leparoux
Mark Casse (CAN)
2014
1:35.21
(7) Dayatthespa (USA)
5/M 124lbs 19/5 (7 of 9)
John R Velazquez
Chad C Brown (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the First Lady Stakes have been based:

  • USA: 9 winners with an additional 13 placings from 68 runners
  • CAN: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 8 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 6 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

First Lady Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the First Lady Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Chad C Brown who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Dayatthespa (2014), A Raving Beauty (2018), Uni (2019), Uni (2020), Blowout (2021), In Italian (2022) & Gina Romantica (2023).

Here are some of the most active First Lady Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Trainer Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Chad C Brown 18 7 3 2 +21.06
Mark Casse 7 1 1 0 -4.30
Michael Stidham 4 1 0 1 +13.60
Todd Pletcher 1 1 0 0 +30.00
William Mott 5 0 0 3 -5.00
A P O'Brien 4 0 0 1 -4.00
Brad H Cox 3 0 2 0 -3.00
Claude R McGaughey III 3 0 0 0 -3.00
Ignacio Correas IV 2 0 1 0 -2.00
Ed Walker 2 0 0 1 -2.00

First Lady Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the First Lady Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Joel Rosario who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Uni (2019), Uni (2020) & In Italian (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the First Lady Stakes is John R Velazquez (2 wins).

Here are some of the most active First Lady Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals.

Jockey Starts 1st 2nd 3rd LSP
Joel Rosario 5 3 1 1 +6.26
John R Velazquez 4 2 0 1 +5.00
Julien R Leparoux 8 1 3 0 -5.30
Tyler Gaffalione 5 1 0 1 +7.50
Flavien Prat 4 1 0 1 +2.30
Joe Bravo 2 1 0 0 +15.60
Kent J Desormeaux 1 1 0 0 +30.00
Jose L Ortiz 5 0 2 1 -5.00
Florent Geroux 5 0 1 1 -5.00
Luis Saez 5 0 0 0 -5.00

Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 2, 3, 7, 4, 3, 4, 2, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (52%) - Made 2 - 8 starts (Class)
  • 10 / 10 (52%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (Class)
  • 10 / 10 (60%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (61%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (64%) - Had 2 - 9 placings (Trip)
  • 10 / 10 (66%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (66%) - Within the first 6 of the market
  • 10 / 10 (69%) - Carried 118 - 123lbs (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (72%) - Carried 117 - 123lbs (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (73%) - Furthest Won 1m½f - 1m3f
  • 10 / 10 (74%) - Ran in USA (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (74%) - No bigger than 30/1
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Not on HY/SFT/GS/GF/FS (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Beaten no more -3¾l (Debut)
  • 10 / 10 (77%) - Highest Run is G1

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Keeneland racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the First Lady Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the First Lady Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?

First Lady Stakes Trend Analysis

How competitive is the First Lady Stakes market?

When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the First Lady Stakes, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $121 which is bet.

Post Positions of the First Lady Stakes Winners, Places & Shows

Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:

Year Win Place Show
2023 1 3 8
2022 4 5 2
2021 9 6 2
2020 5 1 4
2019 4 3 6

Best Course for a First Lady Stakes Prep Run?

The course which has produced the most winners of the First Lady Stakes is Saratoga, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out.

Top Performing Stallions in the First Lady Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the First Lady Stakes:

  • City Zip (2 Wins)
  • More Than Ready (2 Wins)

Biggest Priced Winners of the First Lady Stakes & Performance of Favorites

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Photo Call in 2016, winning for Todd Pletcher at odds of 30/1 under the guidance of Kent J Desormeaux. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 1 winning favorite in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing handicappers page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing handicappers. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Graded races at Keeneland racetrack

Here are some other notable races at the Keeneland racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in October

First Lady Stakes FAQs

Where is the First Lady Stakes run?

The First Lady Stakes is run at the Keeneland racetrack each year, you can get Keeneland racing predictions all season long as well as for First Lady Stakes.

When is the First Lady Stakes?

The First Lady Stakes takes place around October of each year at Keeneland.

Who won the First Lady Stakes?

The 2023 renewal of the First Lady Stakes was won by the Chad C Brown trained Gina Romantica who was ridden by Tyler Gaffalione in a time of 1:33.70, owned by Peter M Brant it was sent off at an SP of 115/10. You can view all the recent winners in the First Lady Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.

Who will win the First Lady Stakes?

On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the First Lady Stakes, you can do this on the Keeneland Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Keeneland all throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.

Who is the top trainer in the First Lady Stakes?

With a total of seven winners over the last ten renewals, it is Chad C Brown who holds the claim as the leading trainer in the First Lady Stakes. To see which other trainers have a good record in the race, head over to the First Lady Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.

Who is the top jockey in the First Lady Stakes?

With a total of three winners over the last ten renewals, it is Joel Rosario who holds the claim as the leading jockey in the First Lady Stakes. To see which other jockeys have a good record in the race, head over to the First Lady Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.

Do we have trends for the 2024 renewal of the First Lady Stakes?

The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of fifteen trends for the First Lady Stakes which can be found under the First Lady Stakes Trends section.

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