Spinster Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks

Updated: 322 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 1m1f is the Spinster Stakes which is scheduled to take place at Keeneland. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the Spinster Stakes.

Spinster Stakes Betting Guide: Strategies, Statistics & Picks
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Spinster Stakes Preview

An important race for next month's Breeders' Cup Distaff as the winner of the Spinster Stakes gets an automatic spot in that race. This race takes place at Keeneland in October and is restricted to fillies and mares only who are aged three or older, it is contested over one and one-eighth miles on the dirt.

Spinster Stakes Picks

We also have a dedicated Keeneland Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG handicappers are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Spinster Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert handicappers on the racing predictions page.

Spinster Stakes Content

Quickest Run Spinster Stakes Renewals

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 1:49.01 was set by Letruska in 2021, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Fausto Gutierrez and ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr. The slowest winning time was set in 2022 when Malathaat won in a time of 1:51.05, booked to ride was John R Velazquez on this Todd Pletcher trained runner. Below are the top five quickest-run Spinster Stakes over the last 10 renewals.

  • 2021 - Letruska (1:49.01)
  • 2015 - Got Lucky (1:49.44)
  • 2017 - Romantic Vision (1:49.70)
  • 2020 - Valiance (1:49.76)
  • 2014 - Dont Tell Sophia (1:49.80)

Spinster Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Spinster Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the winning time, and the horse that won along with the cloth number, age, sex, the weight of the horse & which starting gate the horse came from. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Spinster Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the moneyline odds the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Info)Info
2023
1:49.82
(2) Idiomatic (USA)
4/F 124lbs 21/20 (2 of 6)
Florent Geroux
Brad H Cox (USA)
2022
1:51.05
(1) Malathaat (USA)
4/F 124lbs 4/9F (1 of 5)
John R Velazquez
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2021
1:49.01
(4) Letruska (USA)
5/M 124lbs 2/5F (4 of 6)
Irad Ortiz Jr
Fausto Gutierrez (USA)
2020
1:49.76
(5) Valiance (USA)
4/F 124lbs 32/5 (5 of 6)
Luis Saez
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2019
1:50.30
(2) Blue Prize (ARG)
6/M 124lbs 76/10 (2 of 5)
Joe Bravo
Ignacio Correas IV (USA)
2018
1:50.02
(11) Blue Prize (ARG)
5/M 124lbs 9/2 (11 of 11)
Joe Bravo
Ignacio Correas IV (USA)
2017
1:49.70
(11) Romantic Vision (USA)
5/M 124lbs 32/5 (11 of 9)
Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr
George R Arnold II (USA)
2016
1:49.98
(3) Im A Chatterbox (USA)
4/F 124lbs 2/5F (3 of 5)
Florent Geroux
J Larry Jones (USA)
2015
1:49.44
(4) Got Lucky (USA)
4/F 124lbs 18/5 (4 of 9)
Irad Ortiz Jr
Todd Pletcher (USA)
2014
1:49.80
(5) Dont Tell Sophia (USA)
6/M 124lbs 57/10 (5 of 6)
Joseph Rocco Jr
Philip A Sims (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Spinster Stakes have been based:

  • USA: 10 winners with an additional 13 placings from 66 runners
  • GB: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Spinster Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Spinster Stakes over the last 10 renewals is Todd Pletcher who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Got Lucky (2015), Valiance (2020) & Malathaat (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Spinster Stakes is Ignacio Correas IV (2 wins).

Here are some of the most active Spinster Stakes trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals.

TrainerStarts1st2nd3rdLSP
Todd Pletcher7301+6.44
Ignacio Correas IV4211+10.10
Brad H Cox6102-3.95
George R Arnold II2100+5.40
Fausto Gutierrez2100-0.60
J Larry Jones2100-0.60
Philip A Sims1100+5.70
Chad C Brown3012-3.00
Thomas Amoss3010-3.00
William Mott3010-3.00

Spinster Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Spinster Stakes over the last 10 renewals with all of Florent Geroux, Irad Ortiz Jr & Joe Bravo having all won the race 2 times. Florent Geroux winners have been with Im A Chatterbox (2016) & Idiomatic (2023). Irad Ortiz Jr winners have been with Got Lucky (2015) & Letruska (2021). Joe Bravo winners have been with Blue Prize (2018) & Blue Prize (2019).

Here are some of the most active Spinster Stakes jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals.

JockeyStarts1st2nd3rdLSP
Florent Geroux5202-1.55
Irad Ortiz Jr3200+3.00
Joe Bravo2200+12.10
Luis Saez5111+2.40
Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr5100+2.40
John R Velazquez2110-0.56
Joseph Rocco Jr1100+5.70
Corey J Lanerie4001-4.00
Jose L Ortiz3020-3.00
Joel Rosario3011-3.00

Favorites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 2, 1, 6, 7, 2, 3, 1, 1, 4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (43%) - Had 2 - 6 wins (1 Year)
  • 10 / 10 (47%) - Break of 22 - 85 days (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (49%) - No bigger than 38/5
  • 10 / 10 (51%) - Had 1 - 2 wins (90 Days)
  • 10 / 10 (56%) - Beaten no more -1¼l (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (57%) - Carried 120 - 124lbs (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (57%) - Achieved an RPR of 101+ (LTO)
  • 10 / 10 (59%) - Within the first 4 of the market
  • 10 / 10 (62%) - Had 2 - 8 wins (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (65%) - Won within last 2 starts
  • 10 / 10 (68%) - Off a break of 22 - 49 days
  • 10 / 10 (68%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (180 Days)
  • 10 / 10 (68%) - Ran over 1m½f - 1m2f (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (69%) - Break of 22 - 85 days (Last Place)
  • 10 / 10 (71%) - Made 4 - 7 starts (1 Year)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Keeneland racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Spinster Stakes. Are you already a member? If not, then why not?! With over $9,000 given away each month in the picks contest, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Spinster Stakes by adding a pick on the race here?

Spinster Stakes Trend Analysis

How competitive is the Spinster Stakes market?

When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favor with an over-round of 139%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Spinster Stakes, the over-round has been 124%, which means the bookie expects to pay out $100 for every $124 which is bet.

Post Positions of the Spinster Stakes Winners, Places & Shows

Here are the most recent winning draws along with those who placed and showed:

YearWinPlaceShow
2023245
2022124
2021412
2020523
2019251

Best Course for a Spinster Stakes Prep Run?

The course which has produced the most winners of the Spinster Stakes is Saratoga, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Saratoga last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Churchill Downs, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Churchill Downs last time out.

Top Performing Stallions in the Spinster Stakes

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Spinster Stakes:

  • Curlin (2 Wins)
  • Pure Prize (2 Wins)

Biggest Priced Winners of the Spinster Stakes & Performance of Favorites

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Blue Prize in 2019, winning for Ignacio Correas IV at odds of 76/10 under the guidance of Joe Bravo. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favorites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Spinster Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing handicappers on the best racing handicappers page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Other Graded races at Keeneland racetrack

Here are some other notable races at the Keeneland racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in April

Races in October

Spinster Stakes FAQs

Where is the Spinster Stakes run?

The Spinster Stakes is run at the Keeneland racetrack each year, you can get Keeneland racing predictions all season long as well as for Spinster Stakes.

When is the Spinster Stakes?

The Spinster Stakes takes place around October of each year at Keeneland.

Who won the Spinster Stakes?

The 2023 renewal of the Spinster Stakes was won by the Brad H Cox trained Idiomatic who was ridden by Florent Geroux in a time of 1:49.82, owned by Juddmonte it was sent off at an SP of 21/20. You can view all the recent winners in the Spinster Stakes Past Winners section of the blog.

Who will win the Spinster Stakes?

On the day of the race, use the trends in this blog and then compare them to the OLBG racing handicappers' predictions for the Spinster Stakes, you can do this on the Keeneland Picks page which not only will have picks for this race but also picks for Keeneland all throughout the season. You may also be interested in the Horse Racing Picks page where you can get daily horse racing predictions from all of the US courses.

Who is the top trainer in the Spinster Stakes?

With a total of three winners over the last ten renewals, it is Todd Pletcher who holds the claim as the leading trainer in the Spinster Stakes. To see which other trainers have a good record in the race, head over to the Spinster Stakes Trainer Statistics section of the blog.

Who is the top jockey in the Spinster Stakes?

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Spinster Stakes over the last ten renewals, all with two wins are Florent Geroux, Irad Ortiz Jr & Joe Bravo. To see which other jockeys have a good record in the race, head over to the Spinster Stakes Jockey Statistics section of the blog.

Do we have trends for the 2024 renewal of the Spinster Stakes?

The simple answer is Yes! We have a total of fifteen trends for the Spinster Stakes which can be found under the Spinster Stakes Trends section.

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