The Traitors Winner Odds: Rachel Now Shortens Into Favourite to win Traitors Season 4

The Traitors betting odds are updated after Friday's dramatic episode saw Fiona revealed as a Traitor and Matthew propose joining the enemy. Rachel remains odds-on to win, with Stephen close behind.
The Traitors Winner Odds: Rachel Now Shortens Into Favourite to win Traitors Season 4
Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Rachel is now the 1/2 favourite to win The Traitors 2026 after Fiona was banished and exposed.
  • Matthew shocked viewers by offering to join the Traitors if they spared him in the next murder.
  • Stephen and Harriet remain close contenders as the power struggle in the castle intensifies.

The twists keep coming in The Traitors, with Friday night’s episode delivering one of the most explosive instalments yet and the betting markets have reacted.

Rachel has now shortened to 1/2 favourite to win the series after outmanoeuvring fellow Traitor Fiona, who was banished at the roundtable and dramatically exposed. 

Fiona had earlier called out Rachel as a potential Traitor in a move that clearly backfired.

Meanwhile, the strategic turn by Matthew, who openly proposed joining the Traitors if they murdered Jessie and spared him has left fans stunned and thrown the game into chaos.

The Traitors Betting Odds
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The Traitors Betting Odds

Latest Winner Odds The Traitors 2026

The Traitors 2026 Winner
Odds*Implied Probability
Rachel1/266.7%
Stephen6/440.0%
Harriet2/133.3%
Matthew3/125.0%
Jade4/120.0%
Ellie5/116.7%
Jack5/116.7%
Roxy6/114.3%
Sam6/114.3%

*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert

Rachel in Control?

With Fiona eliminated and Stephen and Rachel still active as Traitors, Rachel’s ability to deflect suspicion continues to pay off. 

Her odds now suggest a 67% chance of winning the show, especially if she can survive the next few votes and maintain control.

Her alliance with Stephen remains strong, but cracks could still appear if Matthew is recruited. 

The balance of power could shift dramatically if the Traitors agree to his terms.

What Happens Next?

The big cliffhanger from Episode 6: Will Matthew be recruited as a Traitor?

Rachel and Stephen were given his written proposition but their answer hasn’t been revealed yet. 

If they agree they would gain a powerful new ally but also increase the risk of exposure through group dynamics.

Harriet, who was also involved in the Traitor questioning task, remains an outside threat in the market at 2/1. 

Her intuition has served her well so far, and she may be closing in on the remaining Traitors.

What the expert says...
Rachel has executed a masterclass so far staying hidden, navigating suspicion and outlasting two fellow Traitors. But if she agrees to bring Matthew in, the power dynamic could flip again

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Remaining Contestants The Traitors 2026

ContestantAgeResidenceOccupationAffiliationFinish
Netty Österberg42GlasgowNursery school teacherFaithfulMurdered
(Episode 2)
Judy Wilson60DoncasterChild liaison officerFaithfulBanished
(Episode 2)
Ben66HampshireRoyal Navy veteranFaithfulMurdered
(Episode 3)
Hugo Lodge51LondonBarristerTraitorBanished
(Episode 3)
Ross Garshong37LondonSales executive & personal trainerFaithfulBanished
(Episode 4)
Marzook "Maz" Bana59PrestonCivil servantFaithfulMurdered
(Episode 5)
Amanda Collier57BrightonRetired police detectiveFaithfulBanished
(Episode 5)
Reece Ward27SheffieldSweet shop assistantFaithfulMurdered
(Episode 6)
Adam Waughman34RomfordBuilderFaithfulParticipating
Ellie Buckley33LondonPsychologistFaithful
Faraaz Noor22MiddlesbroughInternal auditorFaithful
Harriet Tyce52LondonCrime writer & former barristerFaithful
Jack Butler29Hatfield HeathPersonal trainerFaithful
Jade Scott25WarwickPhD studentFaithful
James Baker38WeymouthGardenerFaithful
Jessie Stride28HullHairstylistFaithful
Matthew Hyndman35EdinburghCreative directorFaithful
Rachel Duffy42NewryHead of CommunicationsTraitor
Roxy32AmsterdamRecruiterFaithful
Sam Little34North YorkshireAccount managerFaithful
Stephen Libby32LondonCyber security consultantTraitor

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