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- SNP are 1/7 favourites to win the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election on William Hill.
- Reform UK (5/1) and Labour (9/1) trail behind in the betting.
- Bet now at William Hill and other top UK betting sites, with free bets available for new customers.
SNP Dominate Betting Market in Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse By-Election
The political focus in Scotland turns to Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse, where voters will head to the polls for a by-election following the resignation of SNP MSP Christina McKelvie.
Betting markets suggest it’s business as usual in the constituency, with the Scottish National Party priced as heavy 1/7 favourites at William Hill to retain the seat.
Despite national polling fluctuations and a recent shift in the Westminster narrative, the odds suggest strong local support remains intact.
The main challenge, based on the odds from UK betting sites, comes from Reform UK, priced at 5/1, while Labour have drifted out to 9/1.
The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats are 100/1 and 200/1 outsiders respectively.
| Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse By-Election Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| SNP | 1/7 | 87.5% |
| Reform UK | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Labour | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Conservatives | 100/1 | 1.0% |
| Liberal Democrats | 200/1 | 0.5% |
Who’s Standing in the By-Election?
The full list of candidates for the by-election includes:
- Katie Slavin (SNP)
- David John Stark (Reform UK)
- Ali Salamati (Scottish Labour)
- Graham Newlands (Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party)
- Mark McGeever (Scottish Liberal Democrats)
With SNP fielding a new face in Katie Slavin and Reform UK gaining visibility under the national spotlight, the contest may offer more media intrigue than true electoral tension.
Betting Market Reflects Localised Strength
Despite wider shifts in UK politics, the SNP’s dominant pricing reflects their historic performance in central belt constituencies, particularly in by-elections where turnout tends to be lower and core voters play a bigger role.
What the expert says...
Where to Bet on UK By-Elections and Politics
Markets on the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election are now live at the best political betting sites.
Whether you’re following party odds, turnout specials, or margin-of-victory bets, sites like William Hill provide regular pricing and updates for major UK political events.
If you’re new to political betting or looking to enhance your play, check out the latest new betting offers available ahead of a packed summer of UK elections and international football.
