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- Wham are 4/9 favourites to claim the 2025 Christmas Number One with “Last Christmas”.
- Kylie Minogue’s Amazon exclusive ‘XMAS’ is 6/1 second-favourite, helped by Alexa playlist dominance.
- Outsiders like Taylor Swift, Mariah Carey, and Together for Palestine all sit at 16/1 in a wide open market.
Wham Odds-On To Claim Christmas Number One Spot Once Again
As December begins, the annual race for the Christmas Number One is heating up and it’s Wham’s “Last Christmas” that leads the betting once again this year.
Bookmakers now make the 1984 classic a 4/9 favourite to hit the top of the charts on Christmas Day, despite the song never achieving the feat until 2020.
With streaming platforms like Spotify and Amazon Music playing a dominant role in modern chart rankings, Wham’s festive favourite looks poised to repeat the magic again.
William Hill's latest odds give an implied probability of 69.2% that Wham! make it a hat-trick of Number Ones this Christmas.
Kylie Minogue's New Track The Closest Challenger
Kylie Minogue is the closest challenger at 6/1 with her Amazon Music Original single ‘XMAS’.
The song is expected to perform strongly thanks to its prime placement on Alexa’s default holiday playlists, putting it automatically in homes across the UK when users ask to play Christmas songs.
With Amazon Music playing an increasingly key role in chart calculations, this exclusive release could spike in streams as we get closer to Christmas.
What the expert says...
Christmas Number One 2025 Betting Odds
| Christmas Number One 2025 | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wham | 4/9 | 69.2% |
| Kylie Minogue | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Taylor Swift | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Mariah Carey | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Together for Palestine | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Alison Limerick | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Can Anyone Stop Wham?
Taylor Swift and Mariah Carey are both in the mix at 16/1, though it’s unclear whether either will release a strong enough festive single to compete.
Carey’s perennial hit “All I Want For Christmas Is You” remains a December staple but might suffer from fatigue.
Campaign-led entries like Together for Palestine and Alison Limerick are also priced at 16/1, but would need major momentum in the coming weeks to be serious contenders.
Where to Bet on the Christmas Number One
If you fancy backing your festive favourite, William Hill are offering the latest Christmas Number One odds alongside a solid welcome offer:
Bet £10, Get £30 in Free Bets with William Hill
