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- Yulia Navalnaya is the new 3/1 favourite to win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy follows at 4/1, with Donald Trump drifting to 8/1
- Betting sites report increased activity following renewed interest in global peace campaigning
Navalnaya Surges to the Top of Nobel Peace Prize Betting Market
With the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize still months away, Betting Sites have seen a notable shift in the market with Yulia Navalnaya surging into 3/1 favourite to claim one of the world’s most prestigious honours.
Navalnaya, the widow of Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, has emerged as a powerful symbol of resistance, democratic activism, and non-violent protest on the global stage.
Her rise in the betting comes as calls grow for the Nobel Committee to recognise her leadership and courage in the wake of her husband’s death.
Navalnaya's move to the top of the market overtakes early frontrunner Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who now sits at 4/1 after leading the field earlier this year.
Here’s how the updated odds look:
| 2025 Nobel Peace Prize | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Navalnaya | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Donald Trump | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Keir Starmer | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Elon Musk | 20/1 | 4.8% |
What the expert says...
High-Profile Outsiders Still in the Frame
Elsewhere in the market, UK Labour leader Keir Starmer and tech billionaire Elon Musk are both priced at 20/1, seen as rank outsiders but still attracting speculative interest.
While neither are traditional picks, the Nobel Committee has occasionally surprised with politically symbolic or forward-thinking awards, keeping long-odds options alive for those chasing a high-return outcome.
Nobel Peace Prize Betting and Previous Winners
Where to Bet on the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize
The Nobel Peace Prize betting market continues to attract interest across leading Entertainment Betting Sites, with odds often shifting based on media sentiment, global events, and political developments.
You can browse the latest specials and political markets across major UK Betting Sites, many of which offer new customer Free Bets in advance of the October announcement.
