Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- The Brutalist star Adrien Brody is now 4/5 to win Best Actor in a Leading Role at the BAFTAs
- Ralph Fiennes is the main opponent to Brody in the market
- The Brutalist, Conclave and Anora close in the odds for Best Film
The Brutalist star Adrien Brody is now 4/5 to win Best Actor in a Leading Role at the BAFTAs
Betting odds continue to be given on the 2025 BAFTA Film Awards with the big categories including Best Actor in a Leading Role, with OLBG looking at the key contenders in the betting market.
UK Betting Sites have installed Adrien Brody as the 4/9 favourite to win the Best Actor in a Leading Role award for his role as László Tóth in The Brutalist.
Brody has been the favourite across multiple award shows for various Best Actor awards and kicked off awards season with the Golden Globe for Best Actor in a Motion Picture.
William Hill give an implied probability of 69.2% that Brody wins the BAFTA on Sunday with this his second nomination in the category after losing out to Daniel Day-Lewis back in 2002.
| BAFTAs 2025: Best Actor in a Leading Role | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Adrien Brody | 4/5 | 55.6% |
| Ralph Fiennes | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Timothee Chalamet | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Hugh Grant | 6/1 | 14.3% |
What the expert says...
Ralph Fiennes is the main opponent to Brody in the market
British actor Ralph Fiennes sits behind Brody in the market for Best Actor ahead of Sunday night's BAFTAs with his performance in Conclave receiving massive critical acclaim.
The 62-year-old is also in the running for the Oscar for Best Actor for performance that has impressed movie goers and critics alike.
Current odds for Best Actor in a Leading Role give an implied probability of 33.3% that Fiennes is crowned winner of the award this weekend.
BAFTA Film And TV Awards Betting Odds And Trends
The Brutalist, Conclave and Anora close in the odds for Best Film
The biggest award that will be given on the night will be for Best Film and the market for this one is extremely tight with The Brutalist, Conclave and Anora all in the running.
The Brutalist is the favourite in the market followed by Conclave and Anora respectively but there's just an 8.8% difference in probability between the top three in the market.
This year's BAFTAs is the first in a while where there is no clear frontrunner in the betting markets for the key awards with the whole show looking wide open.
| BAFTAs 2025 Best Film | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| The Brutalist | 11/8 | 42.1% |
| Conclave | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Anora | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Emilia Perez | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| A Complete Unknown | 66/1 | 1.5% |
