I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Avengers: Doomsday is 1/3 favourite to be the highest grossing 2026 film despite its December release date
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits 6/4 in second, releasing 31 July
- Current leader Super Mario Galaxy already on $1.008bn but only 4/1 in the market
Avengers: Doomsday could become the highest grossing film of 2026 despite not releasing until 18 December, and the bookmakers are confident enough to price it at 1/3 odds-on.
The Marvel Studios tentpole arrives with just under two weeks of 2026 box office runway available, but the brand's track record on opening weekend revenue is making the bettors comfortable backing it as a near-certain year-end leader.
Currently sitting at the top of the 2026 box office is The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on $1.008 billion, comfortably the highest grossing film of the year so far.
Yet the Nintendo sequel sits only fourth in the betting market at 4/1, behind Doomsday, Spider-Man: Brand New Day (6/4) and the implied trajectory of the year-end blockbuster releases.
Bookmakers have a full market up for the highest grossing film of 2026, with Avengers: Doomsday the 1/3 favourite.
Highest Grossing Film Of 2026 Odds At A Glance
| Film | Release Date | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avengers: Doomsday | 18 December 2026 | 1/3 | 75.0% |
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 31 July 2026 | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | 1 April 2026 | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| The Odyssey | 17 July 2026 | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Toy Story 5 | 19 June 2026 | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Minions 3 | 1 July 2026 | 16/1 | 5.9% |
Where The Current Top 5 Sits
The actual 2026 box office leaderboard tells a different story from the betting market. Super Mario Galaxy leads on $1.008 billion, followed by Michael on $977 million, Project Hail Mary on $683 million, The Devil Wears Prada 2 on $678 million, and Pegasus 3 on $656 million.
| 1 | The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | $1,008,700,935 | $429,744,935 | 42.6% | $578,956,000 | 57.4% |
| 2 | Michael | $977,486,308 | $370,208,308 | 37.9% | $607,278,000 | 62.1% |
| 3 | Project Hail Mary | $683,355,577 | $344,050,007 | 50.3% | $339,305,570 | 49.7% |
| 4 | The Devil Wears Prada 2 | $678,081,840 | $219,981,840 | 32.4% | $458,100,000 | 67.6% |
| 5 | Pegasus 3 | $656,459,523 | $1,374,946 | 0.2% | $655,084,577 | 99.8% |
What the expert says...
The Long Shots
The Odyssey at 6/1 reflects Christopher Nolan's brand-recognition pull and the prestige drama appeal that occasionally produces $700m+ hauls (Oppenheimer's $976m being the obvious recent precedent). A 14.3% implied probability is fair without being generous.
Toy Story 5 at 16/1 and Minions 3 at 16/1 represent the family animation cluster. Both will perform strongly, but a $1bn+ year-end leader from either franchise requires the kind of extraordinary cultural moment that the recent Pixar and Illumination releases haven't quite hit.
Entertainment Betting Sites: Best Bookmakers Compared on Reality TV, Entertainment and Novelty Bets
Where To Bet On The 2026 Box Office Market
Markets on the highest grossing film of 2026 are now live across all of the best entertainment betting sites, with prices moving sharply on every blockbuster opening weekend.
For value hunters, many of the best UK betting sites carry deeper box office specials around opening weekend numbers, $1 billion club entries and specific franchise releases that can offer better value than the headline annual winner line.
Keep an eye on the free bets and welcome offers available across the major entertainment bookmakers, particularly as the late-summer and autumn release schedule unfolds across July and beyond.
