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- Netherlands are the 8/11 favourites to win Group F
- Japan are second favourites ahead of Sweden
- Tunisia are favourites to finish bottom of the standings
Netherlands Favourites In Fascinating Group F At World Cup 2026
UK Betting Sites have made the Netherlands favourites to win Group F at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, though the section could become one of the tournament’s most competitive.
The Dutch have been drawn alongside Japan, Sweden and Tunisia in a group packed with experienced international sides and intriguing historical matchups.
While the Netherlands head the betting market with BetVictor, both Japan and Sweden are viewed as serious contenders to challenge for qualification to the knockout rounds.
The group also includes the tournament’s 1000th World Cup match when Tunisia face Japan on 20 June.
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Group F Winner Odds
| Group F Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | 8/11 | 57.9% |
| Japan | 10/3 | 23.1% |
| Sweden | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Tunisia | 9/1 | 10.0% |
The odds suggest bookmakers expect the Netherlands to progress comfortably, though the race behind them could become extremely tight.
Netherlands Looking To Build Momentum Early
The Dutch begin their campaign against Japan in Arlington before facing Sweden and Tunisia later in the group.
Historically, the Netherlands have enjoyed strong results against several of their opponents.
They defeated Japan 1-0 during the 2010 World Cup and also beat Sweden 2-0 during qualification for the 2018 tournament.
The Dutch will likely target maximum points from their opening two fixtures before facing Tunisia in the final round.
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Japan Emerging As Major Threat
Japan’s development over the past decade has transformed them into one of the most respected international sides outside Europe and South America.
The Samurai Blue continue impressing with their technical level, tactical organisation and increasingly strong performances at major tournaments.
They have already beaten Tunisia twice previously at World Cups and in the 2023 Kirin Challenge Cup.
Their clash against Tunisia on 20 June also carries historical significance as the 1000th match in FIFA World Cup history.
Tunisia Looking To Upset Expectations
Tunisia enter the tournament as favourites to finish bottom of Group F.
| Group F To Finish Bottom | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | 4/5 | 55.6% |
| Sweden | 10/3 | 23.1% |
| Japan | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Netherlands | 8/1 | 11.1% |
Group F Fixtures
Netherlands vs Japan
14 June 2026 – AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Sweden vs Tunisia
14 June 2026 – Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Netherlands vs Sweden
20 June 2026 – NRG Stadium, Houston
Tunisia vs Japan
20 June 2026 – Estadio BBVA, Guadalupe
Japan vs Sweden
25 June 2026 – AT&T Stadium, Arlington
Tunisia vs Netherlands
25 June 2026 – Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
