Women’s Prize for Fiction 2025 Odds: Yael van der Wouden Favourite to Win

The shortlist for the 2025 Women’s Prize for Fiction has been revealed. Yael van der Wouden’s The Safekeep leads the betting at 2/1, ahead of Elizabeth Strout and Nussaibah Younis.
Women’s Prize for Fiction 2025 Odds: Yael van der Wouden Favourite to Win
Jake Ashton
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  • Shortlist for the 2025 Women’s Prize for Fiction confirmed, with six authors in the running.
  • Yael van der Wouden’s The Safekeep is the 2/1 favourite with betting sites.
  • Winner to be announced 12 June with odds expected to shift following media coverage and literary buzz.

Women’s Prize 2025: The Safekeep Favourite Following Shortlist Reveal

The Women’s Prize for Fiction 2025 shortlist has been revealed and with it comes a flurry of betting interest as readers and punters speculate on this year’s winner. 

This year’s final six showcase a diverse mix of debut talent, international voices, and established literary names  and with the winner to be announced on 12 June, markets are already active with betting sites.

Leading the field at 2/1 is Yael van der Wouden’s The Safekeep, a haunting debut set in post-war Netherlands. 

Its exploration of memory, identity, and queer desire has resonated strongly with both critics and readers, and bookmakers now see it as the standout favourite.

Women's Prize for Fiction 2025OddsProbability
Yael van der Wouden - The Safekeep
2/133.3%
Elizabeth Strout - Tell Me Everything
3/125.0%
Nussaibah Younis - Fundamentally
4/120.0%
Miranda July - All Fours5/116.7%
Sanam Mahloudji - The Persians
8/111.1%
Aria Aber - Good Girl
8/111.1%
What the expert says...
The Safekeep has been building momentum for weeks, and it’s no surprise to see it lead the market. But there’s depth to this shortlist and Elizabeth Strout’s consistency and Miranda July’s originality both pose a real challenge.

Jake Ashton - Current Affairs Expert - OLBG.com

Strong Contenders in a Bold Shortlist

The 2025 shortlist, described by judges as “bold, brilliant and beautifully crafted,” includes works spanning memoir-style fiction, historical narratives, and inventive literary forms. 

Chair of judges Monica Ali praised the authors for their “originality, resonance, and emotional truth.”

Second favourite in the latest betting market is Elizabeth Strout’s Tell Me Everything at 3/1.

A master of quiet emotional depth, Strout is a former Pulitzer winner whose work consistently lands critical acclaim. 

Her place near the top of the odds reflects both her pedigree and storytelling power.

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Where to Bet on the Women’s Prize 2025

Several betting sites now offer odds on the 2025 Women’s Prize for Fiction and with more than a month to go before the announcement, markets could still shift. 

Whether you’re backing the favourite or spotting an outsider, don’t forget to check out current free bets before placing a wager.

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