Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- July 2025 is 4/1 to break the UK’s all-time heat record of 40.3°C.
- Evens (1/1) odds on July recording the hottest day of the year.
- Longshot 12/1 for July to be the wettest month ever.
20% probability for UK Heat Record to Be Broken
Following a scorching weekend across the UK, attention now turns to weather betting specials with July 2025 now priced at 4/1 to become the hottest month ever recorded in the country.
With forecasts hinting at prolonged heatwaves, the betting experts are looking at temperature-based novelty bets ahead of an expected warm month.
July has historically been the month for extreme heat in Britain with the current UK temperature record stands at 40.3°C, logged at Coningsby, Lincolnshire on 19 July 2022.
All-time highs for Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland also occurred in July making this month the clear frontrunner for heat.
| July Weather Betting Specials | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| July 2025 to have the hottest day of the year | 1/1 | 50.0% |
| July 2025 to break the UK heat record (40.3°C) | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| July 2025 to be the wettest month ever recorded | 12/1 | 7.7% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
What the expert says...
UK Temperature Records by Nation
| Country | Record Temperature | Date | Location |
|---|---|---|---|
| England | 40.3°C (104.5°F) | 19 July 2022 | Coningsby, Lincolnshire |
| Wales | 37.1°C (98.8°F) | 18 July 2022 | Hawarden, Flintshire |
| Scotland | 34.8°C (94.6°F) | 19 July 2022 | Charterhall, Scottish Borders |
| Northern Ireland | 31.3°C (88.3°F) | 21 July 2021 | Castlederg, County Tyrone |
Heatwave Betting Gains Momentum
With 50% implied probability, July 2025 is evens (1/1) to register the hottest day of the year which is unsurprising given the UK’s climate pattern.
But it’s the 4/1 chance of exceeding 40.3°C that’s looking intriguing, especially with long-range forecasts predicting high pressure dominance in mid to late July.
The outside shot would be July somehow becoming the wettest month ever which is a 12/1 longshot.
Entertainment Betting Sites: Best Bookmakers Compared on Reality TV, Entertainment and Novelty Bets
Where to Bet on Weather Specials
Although not available at all betting sites, weather markets occasionally appear at the best entertainment betting sites.
Punters interested in novelty odds, especially during major weather events, should check for free bets and enhanced specials tied to forecasts and climate extremes.
