Many people bet based on headlines or hunches. I dig into research and market moves behind political odds & manager markets, so you can back decisions, not guesses.
- Donald Trump and Joe Biden joint favourites at 11/10 to win the US Presidential Election later this year
- Trump's hush-money trial is set to get underway with a full jury sworn in yesterday
- Betting odds also make Trump a contender to be the TIME Person of the Year for 2024
Donald Trump and Joe Biden joint favourites at 11/10 to win the US Presidential Election later this year
Betting remains available on the US Presidential Election this year and bookmakers have now made Donald Trump and Joe Biden joint favourites in the betting market.
Trump had previously moved into the clear favourite to win the election last month but Biden has come right back into the running according to the latest odds.
Bet365's betting market puts the pair both at 11/10 with those odds suggesting a 47.6% implied probability for either of them to win the race.
Biden is the oldest US President with the 81-year-old sworn in for his current reign when he was 78 years 61 days old and this race is between the two oldest runners there's been.
Whoever wins the race out of the two would be the oldest president we've ever seen by the time their reign would be over with Trump hitting 82 at the end of his next potential term.
| US Presidential Election 2024 | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| Joe Biden | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| Michelle Obama | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Robert Kennedy Jr. | 16/1 | 5.9% |
What the expert says..
Trump's hush-money trial is set to get underway with a full jury sworn in yesterday
Donald Trump is in court after being accused of trying to cover up a $130,000 hush-money payment to porn star Stormy Daniels before the 2016 US Presidential Election.
Three days of questioning has seen a full jury of 12 finally be sworn in after intense questioning saw many pull out due to their own doubts over impartiality.
Trump has regularly been heard muttering while jury members were questioned and there has been suggestions of intimidation tactics being used by the former President.
Next US President Odds: A Betting Guide
Betting odds also make Trump a contender to be the TIME Person of the Year for 2024
Trump and Biden both also feature in the betting market to be the TIME Person of the Year for 2024 with odds now listed by bookmakers.
Trump is currently 3/1 in the betting market to be named Person of the Year with the former President previously being favourite for the award back in January.
He's since drifted in the market and sits just ahead of Biden in the odds list with the current US President's odds to be TIME Person of the Year at 4/1.
Yulia Navalnaya and Satoshi Nakamoto are the current favourites in the betting market to win the award which is usually handed out in December.
| 2024 Time Person of the Year | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yulia Navalnaya | 13/5 | 27.8% |
| Satoshi Nakamoto | 13/5 | 27.8% |
| Donald Trump | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Artificial intelligence (AI) [Includes Chat GPT] | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Joe Biden | 4/1 | 20.0% |
Political Betting Author Information
Political Betting Expert
Jake Ashton
- Your Betting Odds Guide đź‘Ť
