Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Donald Trump is now 12/5 with William Hill to not complete his second presidential term.
- Odds were cut following Elon Musk’s Epstein file allegation posted on X.
- The Trump-Musk feud could further shift political betting markets in the weeks ahead.
Bookies Cut Odds on Trump Failing to Complete Second Term After Musk’s Explosive Claim
Tensions between Donald Trump and Elon Musk exploded publicly on Thursday after the billionaire tech mogul posted on X accusing Trump of being in the Jeffrey Epstein files, a bombshell that has dramatically shifted the latest political betting markets.
Following the accusation, which Musk framed as the reason the Epstein documents remain sealed, bookmakers have cut the odds on Trump failing to finish his second presidential term to just 12/5 with William Hill.
Those odds with UK Betting Sites give an implied probability of 29% that Trump exits office before 2029.
| Will Donald Trump Complete His Second Term? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3/10 | 76.9% |
| No | 12/5 | 29.4% |
What Could Force an Early Trump Exit?
While the White House has so far declined to comment on Musk’s claims, the allegation adds to a list of legal and political pressures surrounding Trump, including court cases, budgetary conflicts, and now high-profile tech-world feuds.
The 12/5 price on an early exit may shorten further depending on how the Epstein narrative develops, particularly if media or legal developments escalate in the coming weeks.
What the expert says...
Where to Bet on Trump Political Specials
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New customers can also explore the latest new betting offers, which can be used across political specials and US election markets.
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