Nobel Peace Prize 2025 Betting Odds: Donald Trump Remains Favourite Ahead of Navalnaya

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Donald Trump Sr leads the Nobel Peace Prize market at 6/4 with Ladbrokes.
Yulia Navalnaya follows as second favourite at 2/1.
Humanitarian organisations like UNRWA and Sudan’s ERR also feature among the frontrunners.

Trump Leads the Market at 6/4

The Nobel Peace Prize remains one of the most prestigious global honours and the 2025 betting market is led by none other than Donald Trump Sr, with bookmakers making the US President the 6/4 favourite.

Trump has long made his ambitions for the Peace Prize clear, declaring back in February: “They will never give me a Nobel Peace Prize. I deserve it, but they will never give it to me.”

Despite his scepticism, punters continue to back him as the frontrunner.

His odds reflect the increased speculation following talks earlier this year with Vladimir Putin and meetings with Volodymyr Zelenskyy aimed at seeking a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

Ladbrokes latest betting market now give a 40% chance of Trump winning the prestigious prize later this year.

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Nobel Peace Prize 2025 Winner Odds

Nobel Peace Prize 2025 Winner	Odds	Probability
Donald Trump Sr	6/4	40.0%
Yulia Navalnaya	2/1	33.3%
UNRWA / Philippe Lazzarini	7/1	12.5%
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms	7/1	12.5%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy	9/1	10.0%

Trump Ahead, but Navalnaya Still in the Picture

While Trump dominates the market, Yulia Navalnaya, widow of late Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, remains a strong 2/1 contender.

Navalnaya’s international campaigning has seen her profile surge since her husband’s death, making her a compelling choice for the Nobel committee.

Humanitarian organisations also feature prominently. UNRWA Commissioner-General Philippe Lazzarini is priced at 7/1 alongside Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms, both reflecting the award’s tradition of recognising those working in humanitarian crises.

What the expert says...

Donald Trump’s position as favourite speaks volumes about how punters view his international influence right now. But Nobel voters often lean towards humanitarian figures, so names like Navalnaya and Lazzarini shouldn’t be discounted.

Jake Ashton - Current Affairs Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where to Bet on the Nobel Peace Prize

Novelty and political markets like the Nobel Peace Prize can be found at the best entertainment betting sites with Ladbrokes among the bookmakers pricing up this year’s award.

For those looking to get involved, new customers can also take advantage of free bets across leading UK betting sites, adding extra value when betting on political and entertainment specials.