UCL Play-Off Betting Preview: Newcastle & PSG Among Strongest Favourites in First Leg Action

Champions League play-off action begins this week with Newcastle, PSG and Real Madrid among the favourites. Full Bet365 odds and match betting markets for all eight ties covered.
UCL Play-Off Betting Preview: Newcastle & PSG Among Strongest Favourites in First Leg Action

Vyacheslav Evdokimov, CC BY-SA 3.0 GFDL, via Wikimedia Commons

Jake Ashton
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  • Newcastle heavy favourites to progress past Qarabag.
  • PSG are strong favourites against Monaco in an all-French tie.
  • Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta rated the most evenly balanced play-off clash.

Champions League Knockout Phase Begins

UK betting sites are gearing up for a blockbuster week as the 2025-26 Champions League moves from its dramatic league phase into the knockout rounds.

First up are the play-offs, where teams finishing between ninth and 24th face off across two legs for a place in the last 16. 

With margins fine and pressure rising, betting sites have priced up a fascinating slate of first-leg fixtures across Tuesday and Wednesday.

Newcastle are the biggest favourites to progress from their tie against Qarabag, while reigning champions PSG have a high probability of reaching the next round against Monaco.

Meanwhile, Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta is rated the tightest contest of the lot.

Tuesday 17th February

Galatasaray v Juventus

ResultOdds
Galatasaray12/5
Draw5/2
Juventus11/10

Juventus edge favouritism away from home at 11/10, with Galatasaray priced at 12/5. The Italian side are also 4/7 to win either half and 3/1 to win to nil, suggesting defensive confidence.

Benfica v Real Madrid

ResultOdds
Benfica3/1
Draw11/4
Real Madrid5/6

Real Madrid are among the strongest Tuesday favourites at 5/6. The Spanish giants are 4/9 to win either half and 6/4 to score in both halves, indicating attacking intent.

Borussia Dortmund v Atalanta

ResultOdds
Borussia Dortmund11/10
Draw5/2
Atalanta12/5

This aligns with Opta’s projection of the tightest tie. Dortmund are slight favourites at 11/10, but Atalanta at 12/5 are firmly in the contest. Dortmund are 4/7 to win either half, while Atalanta sit at evens for the same market.

Monaco v PSG

ResultOdds
Monaco11/2
Draw16/5
PSG12/25

PSG are one of the shortest-priced sides of the week at 12/25. They’re 3/10 to win either half and 11/10 to score in both halves. Bookmakers clearly expect a strong first-leg statement.

Wednesday 18th February

FK Qarabag v Newcastle

ResultOdds
Qarabag6/1
Draw15/4
Newcastle2/5

Newcastle are 2/5 favourites and 2/9 to win either half. They’re also 5/4 to win to nil, reflecting their defensive solidity.

Bodo/Glimt v Inter Milan

ResultOdds
Bodo/Glimt15/4
Draw14/5
Inter Milan7/10

Inter are solid 7/10 favourites and 4/11 to win either half. The Italian giants are 6/5 to score in both halves, suggesting confidence in breaking down the Norwegian hosts.

Club Brugge v Atletico Madrid

ResultOdds
Club Brugge29/10
Draw5/2
Atletico Madrid9/10

Atletico Madrid are 9/10 favourites, with Diego Simeone’s side 1/2 to win either half. Club Brugge remain competitive at 29/10, highlighting potential value for punters seeking a home upset.

Olympiacos v Bayer Leverkusen

ResultOdds
Olympiacos13/10
Draw23/10
Bayer Leverkusen2/1

Perhaps the most intriguing market of Wednesday. Olympiacos are 13/10 favourites at home, with Leverkusen 2/1 outsiders. The “win either half” market is almost level (8/11 vs 10/11), reflecting how tight this contest could be.

OLBG Expert Insight

What the expert says...
The play-off round is where volatility creeps in. Newcastle and PSG look statistically dominant, but knockout football often tightens margins. The Dortmund-Atalanta tie stands out as the most finely balanced!

Where To Bet on the UCL Play-Offs

All odds quoted are via bet365, with markets currently betting live.

For a comparison of leading uk betting sites and the latest free bets available, visit our bookmakers page.

You can read the full bet365 review here 👉 https://www.olbg.com/bookmakers/reviews/bet365

For broader coverage of specials and novelty markets, explore the best football betting sites.

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