The Traitors 2026 Latest Odds: NEW Favourite For Season 4 After SHOCK Banishment

The Traitors Season 4 saw another Faithful fall as Harriet was banished on Wednesday. Stephen is now 1/2 favourite to win with Rachel and Matthew following in the odds.
The Traitors 2026 Latest Odds: NEW Favourite For Season 4 After SHOCK Banishment
Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide 👍

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Stephen is now the clear favourite at 1/2 after Harriet’s banishment confirmed she was a Faithful.
  • Rachel’s odds drift to 2/1 following Harriet’s call out
  • Matthew remains a wildcard, especially with recruitment talks

The Traitors Odds Update: Stephen Takes Lead As Harriet Is Banished

Wednesday night’s episode of The Traitors delivered another dramatic twist as Harriet Tyce, previously hailed for her suspicions. became the latest contestant banished at the roundtable.

Despite her best efforts to sniff out the Traitors, Harriet’s erratic approach on Wednesday night cost her the trust of the group. 

Her declaration that Rachel was a Traitor although true was followed by drama at the breakfast table and the group voted her off revealing her true Faithful identity in the process.

With just two known Traitors remaining, Stephen Libby now becomes the clear betting favourite to win Series 4 of the hit BBC show.

Rachel has previously been favourite but it looks likely that the Faithfuls will go after her at the next roundtable vote.

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Latest The Traitors Winner Odds

The Traitors Winner
Odds*Implied Probability
Stephen1/266.7%
Rachel2/133.3%
Matthew3/125.0%
Jade4/120.0%
Ellie5/116.7%
Jack5/116.7%
Roxy6/114.3%
Sam6/114.3%

*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert

Remaining Contestants

ContestantAgeResidenceOccupationAffiliationFinish
Netty Österberg42GlasgowNursery school teacherFaithfulMurdered
(Episode 2)
Judy Wilson60DoncasterChild liaison officerFaithfulBanished
(Episode 2)
Ben66HampshireRoyal Navy veteranFaithfulMurdered
(Episode 3)
Hugo Lodge51LondonBarristerTraitorBanished
(Episode 3)
Ross Garshong37LondonSales executive & personal trainerFaithfulBanished
(Episode 4)
Marzook "Maz" Bana59PrestonCivil servantFaithfulMurdered
(Episode 5)
Amanda Collier57BrightonRetired police detectiveFaithfulBanished
(Episode 5)
Reece Ward27SheffieldSweet shop assistantFaithfulMurdered
(Episode 6)
Harriet Tyce
52LondonCrime writer & former barrister
Faithful
Banished
(Episode 7)
Adam Waughman34RomfordBuilderFaithfulParticipating
Ellie Buckley33LondonPsychologistFaithful
Faraaz Noor22MiddlesbroughInternal auditorFaithful
Jack Butler29Hatfield HeathPersonal trainerFaithful
Jade Scott25WarwickPhD studentFaithful
James Baker38WeymouthGardenerFaithful
Jessie Stride28HullHairstylistFaithful
Matthew Hyndman35EdinburghCreative directorFaithful
Rachel Duffy42NewryHead of CommunicationsTraitor
Roxy32AmsterdamRecruiterFaithful
Sam Little34North YorkshireAccount managerFaithful
Stephen Libby32LondonCyber security consultantTraitor

Episode 7: Breakdown

  • Harriet banished and confirmed as a Faithful
  • Her final act was calling out Rachel, who is a Traitor.
  • Stephen continues to play under the radar while trying to manipulate roundtable votes
  • Matthew may soon be recruited by the Traitors, as hinted in earlier episodes
  • Rachel's position has weakened slightly, as suspicions grow around her after Harriet’s banishment.

Who Will Win?

With Stephen now at 1/2, the odds suggest he’s in the driving seat, especially if the Traitors choose to recruit Matthew. 

If Rachel survives another roundtable, she may yet pull off a shock win.

Faithfuls like Jade, Ellie, and Jack remain outsiders, but a collective push from them could still upend the final episodes.

What the expert says...
Stephen is navigating the castle like a chessboard. If he avoids recruitment slip-ups and suspicion, he could go all the way.

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

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