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- New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is the current favourite to be named TIME's Person of the Year for 2026, priced at 2/1
- Pope Leo XIV follows as the clearest challenger at 4/1, with Elon Musk and Donald Trump sharing third favouritism at 7/1
- Astronauts Jeremy Hansen and Reid Wiseman also feature in the market, both priced at 10/1
Open Race For One Of Media's Biggest Honours
Few annual awards generate as much conversation as TIME Magazine's Person of the Year, and this year's race is shaping up to be one of the more fascinating in recent memory.
The top betting sites now have New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as the favourite, a position that's developed rapidly over recent months as his profile has continued to grow well beyond the boundaries of city politics.
His high-profile campaigning and consistently strong media presence have pushed him into serious contention, with his influence over the wider political conversation extending significantly beyond New York itself.
It's a remarkable rise for a big city mayor to find himself leading a market that's traditionally been dominated by heads of state and global business figures, and it speaks to just how much national attention he's managed to command this year.

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Musk And Trump Sit High in Market
Elon Musk and Donald Trump both sit at 7/1, reflecting the continued relevance of two of the most consistently newsworthy figures in global business and politics.
Trump previously featured prominently at the top of earlier iterations of this market, and while his price has lengthened somewhat as the year has progressed, he remains firmly within striking distance given his ongoing dominance of the news cycle.
Sitting just behind Mamdani, Pope Leo XIV is priced at 4/1, continuing to be a serious contender given the historic nature of his papacy.
TIME Person Of The Year Odds
| TIME Person Of The Year | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Pope Leo XIV | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Elon Musk | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Donald Trump | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Jeremy Hansen | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Reid Wiseman | 10/1 | 9.1% |
Where To Bet On TIME Person Of The Year
With the announcement not expected until December, this market is likely to continue shifting significantly as the year's biggest political, technological and cultural stories continue to unfold.
It's worth comparing prices across a range of betting sites as the picture develops, and checking for free bets if you're new to betting on markets like this one.
Our guide to the best entertainment betting sites is a great place to start for comparing your options.



