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- Zohran Mamdani is the 1/4 favourite to become New York’s next mayor after his Democratic primary win.
- Andrew Cuomo and Eric Adams are chasing as independents but face long odds.
- Market momentum firmly behind Mamdani with just months to go.
Zohran Mamdani Heavy Odds-On Favourite to Win 2025 New York Mayoral Race
New York’s 2025 mayoral election is heating up and the betting markets are already pointing toward a historic outcome.
Zohran Mamdani is now the 1/4 odds-on favourite to become the next Mayor of New York City, with betting sites reacting swiftly to his unexpected victory in the Democratic primary over former governor Andrew Cuomo.
The upcoming election on November 4, 2025, sees five candidates in contention, but the odds suggest Mamdani is in a commanding position.
With strong backing from progressive figures and grassroots support, Mamdani is now seen as the dominant choice for voters, particularly after defeating Cuomo in what many analysts described as a major political upset.
Incumbent mayor Eric Adams, despite having federal corruption charges dismissed earlier this year, is now running as an Independent and sits third in the betting market at 13/2, with public confidence still low following months of negative press.
2025 New York City Mayoral Election | Odds | Probability |
---|---|---|
Zohran Mamdani | 1/4 | 80.0% |
Andrew Cuomo | 6/1 | 14.3% |
Eric Adams | 13/2 | 13.3% |
Curtis Sliwa | 33/1 | 2.9% |
Jim Walden | 66/1 | 1.5% |
What the expert says...
Mamdani's Odds Slashed
Mamdani’s odds have dramatically shortened in recent weeks following his win over Cuomo in the Democratic primary.
Before that contest, Cuomo had been hovering around evens in the market, but the shock defeat and his switch to an Independent campaign has seen him drift out to 6/1.
Eric Adams has also faded from the race in the eyes of bookmakers, moving out to 13/2 after struggling to shake off the reputational damage of his prior legal troubles.
Meanwhile, Curtis Sliwa and Jim Walden are long outsiders, priced at 33/1 and 66/1 respectively.

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
Where to Bet on Political Specials
Punters can back their picks for the 2025 New York Mayoral Election at several of the best political betting sites.
These races often offer value as narratives shift with polling, public sentiment, and media coverage.
Whether you’re betting on Mamdani’s progressive rise or backing a comeback for Cuomo or Adams, take advantage of the latest free bets and introductory new betting offers before the campaign enters its final stretch.