I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Boris Johnson 3/1 to join Reform UK before next General Election
- Ladbrokes make “No” a strong 2/9 favourite in the betting market
- Johnson has publicly dismissed rumours and criticised Nigel Farage’s party
Bookmakers Price 25% Chance of Boris Johnson Joining Reform UK
Despite ruling out speculation this week, Boris Johnson remains 3/1 with Ladbrokes to join Reform UK before the next General Election.
That price gives the former prime minister a 25% implied probability of making the switch, even as he publicly distances himself from Nigel Farage’s party.
Speaking earlier in the week to The Sun's Harry Cole Saves the West, Johnson branded Reform “extremely dangerous” and insisted that Britain needs a Conservative government “strong on defence” that doesn’t believe “Nato provoked Putin” in Ukraine.
UK Betting Sites continue to offer political betting specials with big question marks around the current political climate.
Will Boris Johnson Join Reform UK Before Next General Election?
| Will Boris Johnson Join Reform UK Before Next General Election? | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| No | 2/9 | 81.8% |
| Yes | 3/1 | 25.0% |
What the expert says...
Johnson Dismisses Reform Links
Johnson went further in his criticism, attacking Reform’s proposed spending policies.
He highlighted concerns about scrapping the two-child benefit cap and said the UK must “spend less on public services” rather than more.
This public distancing has not stopped bookmakers from keeping him priced in the market, with Ladbrokes offering 3/1 on what would be one of the most sensational defections in modern UK politics.
The Reform UK question is unlikely to disappear before the General Election, particularly if Nigel Farage continues to increase his party’s profile.
For now, Johnson looks committed to staying in the Conservative fold but with political shocks nothing new, punters will continue to watch this market closely.
Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
Where To Bet on Political Markets
Political betting remains one of the most popular special markets on leading UK betting sites.
Punters can find a range of live political odds, from UK elections to global events like the US Presidency.
Ladbrokes currently lead the way on the Johnson-to-Reform UK market.
Meanwhile, OLBG’s guide to the best political betting sites highlights where to find free bets and the latest prices.
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