I've spent over 20 years inside the betting industry. I'll guide you to avoid the hype, ignore the noise, and steer clear of the common pitfalls that catch out everyday punters.
- Bookmakers think it is Unlikley one of the BIG 5 will go before June
- Rishi Sunak has a 12.5% chance of leaving post before the summer with betting sites
- Liz Truss is building a considerable selfie selection on Twitter and Bookies have shortened her PM chances
Smarkets betting exchange is offering odds on which Major Cabinet Minister will be the next to leave their position before 31st May this year.
Rishi Sunak the current Chancellor of the Exchequer is the shortest price member of the cabinet to appear in the list, although the favourite outcome is none will leave by this date. An outcome that has shortened up considerably since the outbreak of fighting in Ukraine.
The market consists of just 5 more names beyond Sunak and the option to wager that none will leave at 1.50, which represents a 50% return on investment should all names on the list still be in a position come the end of May.
Next Major Cabinet Minister to Leave Betting Odds
Which of the names ministers will be out of their position by the 31st May according to bookmakers?
| Minister | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| None of the Above | 1.57 | 63.69% |
| Rishi Sunak | 8.0 | 12.50% |
| Priti Patel | 13 | 7.69% |
| Liz Truss | 13.5 | 7.41% |
| Michael Gove | 14.0 | 7.14% |
| Sajid David | 16.5 | 6.06% |
What do they do?
You might only just be looking into political betting and not entirely sure of what each of these member's roles is in the Cabinet, here is a quick round-up of what each of these conservative party cabinet ministers should be doing.
Rishi Sunak
Rishi Sunak is Chancellor of the Exchequer and his latest focus has been on joining in with the Western Sanctions on Russia by banning British people and businesses from making transactions with the Russian Central bank
He is hotly tipped to be the natural successor for Boris johnson should the PM leave his position before end of term.
Liz Truss
Liz Truss is the foreign secretary in the Conservative cabinet who has her hands full in the current climate but is still finding time to keep her face in the forefront of people's minds by continually sharing selfies on Instagram last month!
Her place in the betting to become the Next Prime Minister has improved steadily over the last 6 months
Priti Patel
Priti Patel is the current Home Secretary and whilst she will always be under fire from the Labour side, the current situation whereby she has suggested Labour can not be trusted with security briefings has brought extra focus on her along with her stance on The Ukrainian refugee situation.
She is currently considering the options for the New Met Police Commissioner role of replacing Cressida Dick
Michael Gove
Things have been relatively quiet for Michael Gove of late although one eye may still be on the PM's job. But the very nature of being a cabinet minister will leave you in the firing line at all times. His current title runs as Secretary of State for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities and whilst lauded as one of the most intelligent men in Parliament, former Speaker John Bercow once said, "He would not want to walk in front of Gove', read into that what you will.
Sajid David
The Secretary of State for Health and Social Care, Sajid David has of course been busy with Covid restrictions and the fall out from everything health related in a testing period for his role, and his latest news on the subject suggests that health and social care workers will no longer be required by law to get vaccinated.
