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- Nico O’Reilly 4/6 odds-on for PFA Young Player of the Year.
- City’s 2-2 draw vs Forest highlighted his absence through injury.
- Estevao and Eli Kroupi joint second favourites at 2/1.
O’Reilly Strengthens Grip on PFA Young Player Market
Betting experts have installed Nico O’Reilly as the clear odds-on favourite for the PFA Young Player of the Year award after a breakthrough campaign for Manchester City.
The 4/6 market leader has consistently delivered for Pep Guardiola’s side this season and his absence was felt acutely on Tuesday night as City were held to a 2-2 draw by Nottingham Forest while O’Reilly missed out through injury.
That result only reinforced his value to City and betting experts have responded by shortening his price to reflect growing confidence he will land the individual accolade.
At 4/6, O’Reilly carries an implied 60% probability of lifting the award.
PFA Young Player of the Year Odds
| PFA Young Player of the Year 25/26 | Odds* | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Nico O’Reilly (Man City) | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Estevao (Chelsea) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Eli Kroupi (Bournemouth) | 2/1 | 33.3% |
| Rayan Cherki (Man City) | 3/1 | 25.0% |
| Lewis Miley (Newcastle) | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| Mateus Fernandes (West Ham) | 5/1 | 16.7% |
*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert
The gap between O’Reilly and the chasing pack is significant. Chelsea’s Estevao and Bournemouth’s Eli Kroupi sit joint second at 2/1, while Rayan Cherki, also of Manchester City, is 3/1.
Forest Draw Highlights O'Reilly's Influence
City’s 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest provided an unintended audition tape for O’Reilly’s importance.
Without his composure and attacking contribution, Guardiola’s side lacked their usual control in key moments.
While it would be simplistic to attribute dropped points solely to one absence, the contrast was notable.
Awards voting often hinges on perception as much as statistics. The idea that City “missed him” may resonate strongly when ballots are cast.
What the expert says...
Can Anyone Catch Him?
Despite O’Reilly’s strong position, the market is not closed.
Estevao’s impact at Chelsea has been eye-catching, while Eli Kroupi’s emergence at Bournemouth continues to gather plaudits. Both remain live contenders at 2/1.
Rayan Cherki at 3/1 could also enter the conversation if he finishes the season strongly, although vote-splitting from within the same club may work against him.
Lewis Miley (4/1) and Mateus Fernandes (5/1) would likely require exceptional closing months to overhaul the current favourite.
PFA Young Player of the Year Betting (Odds, History,and Contenders)
Where To Bet on PFA Awards Markets
PFA awards markets are widely available across leading betting sites, particularly as the Premier League season approaches its climax.
While betting is not currently available for the Young Player of the Year, odds are still given on the main PFA prize.
As always with end-of-season honours, market volatility can increase rapidly following standout individual performances.
