Peaky Blinders Movie Specials: Thomas Shelby 1/2 to Die in Immortal Man

Peaky Blinders betting specials make Thomas Shelby 1/2 to die in The Immortal Man, with Cillian Murphy Oscar odds and Birmingham City stadium markets also priced up.
Peaky Blinders Movie Specials: Thomas Shelby 1/2 to Die in Immortal Man
Jake Ashton
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I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Thomas Shelby is 1/2 favourite to die in The Immortal Man.
  • Cillian Murphy priced at 2/1 to win an Oscar for the role.
  • Novelty market includes Birmingham City stadium tribute at 25/1.

Peaky Blinders Betting Markets Open Ahead of Movie Release

Betting experts have turned their attention to the return of one of Britain’s most iconic dramas, with novelty specials emerging ahead of the release of Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man.

The film, starring Cillian Murphy as Tommy Shelby, is set for a theatrical release on March 6, 2026, before arriving on Netflix on March 20, 2026. 

This story continues as World War II begins, with a new television series also planned focusing on the next generation of Shelbys.

With original cast members returning, including Sophie Rundle, Stephen Graham and Ned Dennehy, alongside new additions Rebecca Ferguson, Tim Roth and Barry Keoghan, anticipation is high. 

Where anticipation rises, entertainment betting markets follow.

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Peaky Blinders Specials – Full Odds

Peaky Blinders Specials
OddsImplied Probability
Thomas Shelby to die1/266.7%
Hayden Stagg to die1/150.0%
Cillian Murphy to win Oscar for movie2/133.3%
Birmingham City's new ground to have Peaky Blinders Stand25/13.8%

*As betting sites currently aren't taking bets on this event, odds have been compiled as theoretical probability from an entertainment perspective only and come from an industry expert

Is This the End for Tommy Shelby?

The headline market sees Thomas Shelby priced at 1/2 to die, implying a 66.7% probability that the iconic character meets his end in The Immortal Man.

Given the film is set against the backdrop of World War II and positioned as a continuation rather than a soft reboot, speculation has grown that creator Steven Knight may bring closure to Shelby’s story before shifting focus to the next generation.

From a betting perspective, major character death markets often shorten dramatically close to release if insider whispers or trailer clues intensify speculation.

Stephen Graham's character Hayden Stagg is priced at 1/1 (evens), suggesting a 50% implied probability of his character dying in the film.

Oscar Buzz for Cillian Murphy

Following his recent awards success, Cillian Murphy is 2/1 to win an Oscar for his performance in The Immortal Man.

That price carries a 33.3% implied probability, reflecting both his pedigree and the Academy’s appreciation for intense, character-driven performances.

If early reviews are strong and the film lands as a prestige war drama, those odds could shorten significantly during awards season.

With the movie coming out during this year's awards season though it would be another 12 months before he would be considered.

What the expert says...
Award markets are driven heavily by early festival screenings and critical buzz. If Murphy delivers another career-defining performance, 2/1 could look big. Peaky Blinders is massive and it would be no surprise to see hype around the movie.

Jake Ashton - Entertainment Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Birmingham 25/1 Stadium Tribute

Perhaps the most novel of the specials sees Birmingham City’s new ground priced at 25/1 to include a Peaky Blinders-themed stand.

With the series so closely associated with Birmingham’s identity and global cultural footprint, the long-shot market (3.8% implied probability) reflects more of a romantic novelty than a realistic commercial expectation. but stranger things have happened in football branding.

Birmingham's American owners would love any sort of increased publicity.

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