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- Jessie Buckley is 1/20 favourite for Best Actress at the 2026 Oscars.
- Bet365’s market implies a 95% probability of victory.
- The 98th Academy Awards take place on March 15, 2026.
Buckley Dominates Best Actress Market
UK betting sites have all but declared the Best Actress race over, with Jessie Buckley installed as an extraordinary 1/20 favourite to win at the 98th Academy Awards.
The latest odds via bet365 imply a staggering 95.2% probability that Buckley will take home the Oscar for her performance in Hamnet.
When a nominee trades this short in the weeks leading up to the ceremony, it typically signals overwhelming awards-season momentum and bookmakers clearly believe this race is no longer competitive.
Across betting sites, Buckley sits miles clear of her nearest challengers, reflecting a dominant campaign through precursor awards and industry buzz.
Oscars 2026 – Best Actress Odds
| Actress | Film | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jessie Buckley | Hamnet | 1/20 | 95.2% |
| Rose Byrne | If I Had Legs I'd Kick You | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| Renate Reinsve | Sentimental Value | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Kate Hudson | Song Sung Blue | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Emma Stone | Bugonia | 25/1 | 3.8% |
Rose Byrne is the only other single-digit contender at 9/1, but even that price underlines the gulf between first and second in the market.
Is There Any Value Left in the Market?
At 1/20, Buckley’s price leaves little room for betting value, but it does reflect near-unanimous industry support.
Historically nominees trading at similar odds this close to the ceremony convert at a very high rate.
Rose Byrne at 9/1 represents the only plausible upset candidate in betting terms.
Renate Reinsve and Kate Hudson are both 20/1 outsiders, while Emma Stone sits further back at 25/1.
What the expert says...
Where To Bet on the Oscars
The Oscars Best Actress market is available across major uk betting sites, including bet365.
For more awards and novelty coverage, explore the best entertainment betting sites for sites giving odds.
Markets remain betting live ahead of the March 15 ceremony.
