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- Donald Trump is now the 2/1 favourite to win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.
- U.S. Congressman Darrell Issa formally nominated the former President, citing the Abraham Accords and peace efforts in the Middle East.
- Yulia Navalnaya (4/1) and Sir David Attenborough (6/1) remain among the top contenders.
Trump Surges in Peace Prize Betting After Formal Nomination
Betting markets on the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize have been shaken by news that former U.S. President Donald Trump has received a formal nomination and his odds have responded accordingly.
Trump’s price has been slashed from 6/1 to just 2/1, making him the new market leader with several betting sites.
The nomination comes from Congressman Darrell Issa, who submitted the former president's name citing his role in brokering the Abraham Accords, the 2020 agreement that normalised relations between Israel and several Arab nations.
Issa stated Trump’s “leadership brought peace to an historically tumultuous region,” while also noting his diplomacy on the Korean Peninsula and NATO policy changes.
Latest betting odds given now suggest a 33.3% chance that Trump is crowned winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize.
| 2025 Nobel Peace Prize Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 6/1 | 14.3% |
| Antonio Guterres | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Julian Assange | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 9/1 | 10.0% |
| David Attenborough | 9/1 | 10.0% |
What the expert says...
Where to Bet on the Nobel Peace Prize
You can find Nobel Peace Prize 2025 markets at select betting sites, with new contenders occasionally added throughout the summer.
Make sure to explore current free bets if you’re planning to wager on the world’s most prestigious award.
For broader special markets, check out our best entertainment betting sites guide.
