Next Irish President Odds: Catherine Connolly Favourite Ahead of 2025 Election

Catherine Connolly is the 13/8 favourite to become the next Irish President in 2025. Heather Humphreys and Sean Kelly follow in the market, while Conor McGregor is a 40/1 outsider.
Next Irish President Odds: Catherine Connolly Favourite Ahead of 2025 Election

Houses of the Oireachtas from Ireland, CC BY 2.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

Jake Ashton
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  • Catherine Connolly is the 13/8 favourite with Star Sports to become the next Irish President.
  • Conor McGregor has declared his intention to run but is 40/1 outsider in the betting.
  • The election will take place no later than 11 November 2025, with new candidates expected to emerge in the coming weeks.

Catherine Connolly Favourite in Next Irish President Betting Market

The race to succeed Michael D. Higgins as President of Ireland is beginning to take shape and Catherine Connolly has emerged as the bookmakers favourite to take the role.

Connolly, a TD for Galway West and the only confirmed candidate so far, leads the Next Irish President betting market at 13/8 with Star Sports.

The 2025 Irish Presidential election must take place by 11 November 2025, with Higgins stepping aside after serving the maximum two terms.

Latest betting odds for the position give an implied probability of 38.1% that Connolly will become the next President of Ireland.

Next Irish President Odds

Next Irish PresidentOddsProbability
Catherine Connolly
13/838.1%
Heather Humphreys
9/430.8%
Sean Kelly
4/120.0%
Bertie Ahern
7/112.5%
Mary Lou McDonald
15/211.8%
Micheál Martin
16/15.9%
Conor McGregor
40/12.4%

Connolly Out in Front

Connolly’s long political career and strong reputation in Galway West have helped push her to the top of the market. 

While other names are expected to declare in the coming weeks, her position as the only official candidate at this stage gives her a natural advantage in the early betting.

Heather Humphreys is Minister for Rural and Community Development is expected to announce her candidacy soon and is Connolly’s closest challenger.

What the expert says...
Heather Humphreys represents the most immediate threat to Connolly and Sean Kelly’s potential candidacy could also change the shape of the race. As for Conor McGregor, his declaration has generated significant publicity, but at 40/1 the odds suggest bookmakers remain unconvinced he can gather the necessary nominations to make the ballot.

Jake Ashton - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

McGregor Seeking Nomination

Meanwhile, MMA fighter Conor McGregor has shaken up the conversation around the election after confirming his intention to seek a nomination. 

Despite a lengthy post on X calling for reforms to the nomination process, bookmakers still rate him as an outsider at 40/1.

Star Sports traders believe the likelihood of McGregor receiving sufficient political backing remains slim but public interest in his candidacy could generate headlines throughout the campaign.

Betting Outlook

With the campaign not yet officially underway, bookmakers expect Connolly and Humphreys to dominate the early market. 

However, as more candidates confirm their intentions, odds could shift dramatically in the coming months.

For punters, the Next Irish President market offers a mix of seasoned political figures and the wildcard candidacy and odds can be found on some of the top political betting sites.

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