Next General Election Odds: Reform UK Overtake Tories in Most Seats Betting Market

Reform UK have leapfrogged the Conservatives into second place in the betting to win the most seats at the next UK General Election, with Labour holding on as favourites.
Next General Election Odds: Reform UK Overtake Tories in Most Seats Betting Market

Gage Skidmore from Peoria, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton Senior News Editor

Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles

  • Labour are still favourites at 6/5 to win the most seats at the next General Election.
  • Reform UK shorten into 11/8, overtaking the Conservatives.
  • Nigel Farage’s legacy and ongoing political strategy continue to influence the betting landscape.

Reform UK Leapfrog Conservatives in Most Seats Betting Market Ahead of Next UK General Election

The betting odds for the next UK General Election continue to shift, with Reform UK now the 11/8 second favourites with UK Betting Sites to secure the most seats, leapfrogging the Conservatives who drift to 9/2.

Labour remain market leaders at 6/5 with support steady ahead of what is expected to be a high-stakes contest. 

This shift in odds reflects the political momentum building around Reform UK, as they capitalise on disillusionment with the two main parties.

William Hill's latest market gives just a 3.4% difference in implied probability between Labour and Reform to win the most seats.

Most Seats at Next General ElectionOddsProbability
Labour6/545.5%
Reform UK11/842.1%
Conservatives9/218.2%
Liberal Democrats33/12.9%
Green Party250/10.4%
What the expert says...
The betting shift towards Reform UK is dramatic. For a party that won just five seats last time to be second favourites to win the most next time out is almost unheard of. Labour remain favourites, but punters clearly see Reform as the dark horse.

Jake Ashton - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Labour Still Favoured, But Reform UK Are the Watch

The Labour Party still heads the market at 6/5, despite a recent dip in seat count from 411 at the 2024 election to 403 due to suspensions.

But it’s Reform UK, priced at 11/8, that’s turning heads. 

After securing just five seats at the last election, their odds suggest growing confidence from punters and political bettors alike that they could deliver a shock.

Meanwhile, the Conservatives drift to 9/2, highlighting how Farage’s party has successfully carved into their base.

Where to Bet on the General Election

Punters looking to bet on UK political markets can find the best political betting sites offering full odds on the Next Prime Minister, Most Seats, Next Party Leader markets and more. 

Be sure to claim new betting offers and free bets from top-rated UK betting sites ahead of the next General Election.

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