Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Joey Chestnut returns and is 1/16 to win Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest.
- Patrick Bertoletti, last year’s winner, is 18/1 in the market.
- Total hot dogs line set at 73.5, with both Over and Under priced at 5/6.
Chestnut Back in Action: Bookies Go 1/16 on Return of the Eating Icon
Competitive eating icon Joey Chestnut is back in the frame for Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest 2025, with bookmakers installing him as the clear 1/16 favourite to win after confirming his return last week.
Chestnut missed last year’s contest due to a sponsorship fallout having signed with a rival plant-based hot dog brand.
But with Major League Eating now confirming his comeback, he’s once again expected to dominate the Fourth of July event.
Reigning champion Patrick Bertoletti may have claimed glory last year with 58 hot dogs but William Hill's odds of 18/1 reflect the expected dominance of Chestnut when he's in the lineup.
| Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Chestnut | 1/16 | 94.1% |
| Geoffrey Esper | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Patrick Bertoletti | 18/1 | 5.3% |
| James Webb | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| Any Other | 25/1 | 3.8% |
What the expert says...
Line of Hot Dogs eaten by Chestnut set
Bookmakers are also offering a special market on the total hot dogs eaten by Chestnut, with a line of 73.5 set evenly at 5/6 on either side.
His personal best is 76, set in 2021, and the total market could offer value if he returns hungry to reclaim his crown.
| How many Hot Dogs will Joey Chestnut eat? | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Over 73.5 | 5/6 | 54.5% |
| Under 73.5 | 5/6 | 54.5% |
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Where to Bet on Hot Dog Eating Contests
The best entertainment betting sites offer novelty markets like Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest, alongside reality TV, political specials, and more.
Don’t miss the new betting offers available to new customers, including William Hill who are pricing this year’s contest.
