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- Bookies now make Jeremy Corbyn the 4/9 favourite to win the Islington North Constituency at next month's election
- Corbyn will run independently at the election against the Labour party which he led for 5 years
- Corbyn was suspended as a Labour MP in 2020
Bookies now make Jeremy Corbyn the 4/9 favourite to win the Islington North Constituency at next month's election
Former Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn is the odds-on favourite to win the Islington North Constituency at next month's UK General Election with UK Betting Sites now offering odds on who will win the seat at the polls.
The Islington North Constituency is one of the 650 constituencies across the UK that gives a seat to an MP in the House of Commons and we will head to the polls to vote on these seats at next month's General Election.
Corbyn runs independently at the polls next month and the latest betting market put him odds-on at 4/9 that he wins with those odds from William Hill suggesting a 69.2% chance that he is voted as the winner.
The former Labour MP is just ahead of his former party in the market, with Labour 6/4 to win the seat that has been held by a Labour Party candidate since 1937.
| Islington North Constituency Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Independent (Jeremy Corbyn) | 4/9 | 69.2% |
| Labour | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| Conservatives | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Liberal Democrats | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Reform UK | 250/1 | 0.4% |
| Green Party | 250/1 | 0.4% |
What the expert says...
Corbyn will run independently at the election against the Labour party which he led for 5 years
From September 2015 to April 2020, Jeremy Corbyn was the leader of the Labour Party before stepping down after the party was defeated in the 2019 General Election, with Keir Starmer replacing him as leader.
In that 2019 election, Conservatives won a total of 365 seats which was their highest number since 1987 and a lot of those gains were in the Labour's "red wall" which also voted to leave the EU during the Brexit period 3 years prior.
Labour's performance was a poor one with 202 seats won their lowest since 1935 and that meant that Corbyn had no other decision other than stepping down as leader of the Labour Party.
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Corbyn was suspended as a Labour MP in 2020
After 55 years as a member of the Labour Party, Jeremy Corbyn was suspended as a member following the Equalities and Human Rights Commission's report into Labour's handling of complaints around the behaviour of some of the party's supporters.
Corbyn wasn't suspended for that report but for his reaction to it where he said, "The scale of the problem was also dramatically overstated for political reasons by our opponents inside and outside the party, as well as by much of the media."
This led to now Labour Leader Sir Keir Starmer saying he was disappointed that Corbyn's statement contradicted his own and then suspending him as MP, with Corbyn announcing an independent run last month.
In his campaign opener, Corbyn said that Labour were "denying democracy" by not allowing him to stand for the party in the constituency that he has held for 40 years.
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Jake Ashton
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