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- Paul Thomas Anderson is 1/8 to win Best Director at the Golden Globes 2026 as markets firm up after last week’s Critics Choice Awards.
- Timothée Chalamet is 1/5 to win Best Actor (Musical or Comedy), while One Battle After Another is 1/20 for Best Film (Musical or Comedy).
- Best Film (Drama) remains the tightest market, with Sinners 10/11 and Hamnet 6/4 going head-to-head.
Critics Choice Winners Shape Markets
The 83rd Golden Globe Awards take place this weekend on Sunday 11 January 2026, and with the Beverly Hilton once again hosting Hollywood’s biggest pre-Oscars party, betting sites have tightened their markets as punters look for the clearest awards season signals.
With the Critics Choice Awards now in the rear-view mirror and key races beginning to settle, bookmakers have made several categories look increasingly one-sided, particularly in Best Director, where one name is now priced as close to a certainty as awards betting ever allows.
Below we break down the latest Golden Globes 2026 betting odds via Ladbrokes, highlight where the value might be, and explain which races still offer some intrigue heading into the ceremony.
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Golden Globes 2026: Event Details
Before we dive into the odds, here’s the key scheduling information for Sunday night’s show:
- Date: Sunday, 11 January 2026
- Venue: Beverly Hilton, Beverly Hills
- Awards: 83rd Golden Globe Awards
- Coverage: Globes ceremony honours excellence in film and American television from 2025.
With punters keen to take advantage of late market movement, the final 24–48 hours before the show is typically when prices shift fastest especially if there’s any credible industry chatter.
What the expert says...
Best Director Odds: Paul Thomas Anderson 1/8 to Win
Paul Thomas Anderson is 1/8 to win Best Director which is a price that reflects a market bordering on “done deal” territory.
The implied probability is huge, and it’s consistent with what we often see when a director has built major momentum during the critical awards run-in.
Anderson is followed by Jafar Panahi at 8/1, while Chloé Zhao and Ryan Coogler sit at 16/1, suggesting bookmakers believe the race is already settled.
| Golden Globes 2026 Best Director | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Thomas Anderson | 1/8 | 88.9% |
| Jafar Panahi | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Chloé Zhao | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Ryan Coogler | 16/1 | 5.9% |
| Joachim Trier | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Guillermo del Toro | 40/1 | 2.4% |
Best Male Actor (Musical or Comedy): Chalamet 1/5 Leads Strong Field
The acting markets always attract attention and this year Timothée Chalamet is 1/5 to win Best Male Actor (Musical or Comedy) for his role in Marty Supreme.
That’s an implied probability of 83.3%, reflecting strong confidence that this category is trending firmly in his direction.
Behind him, Leonardo DiCaprio at 5/1 looks like the main alternative, while Ethan Hawke is 7/1. The rest of the market is long, suggesting bookmakers see a clear top two.
| Best Male Actor (Musical or Comedy) | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Timothée Chalamet | 1/5 | 83.3% |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Ethan Hawke | 7/1 | 12.5% |
| Lee Byung-hun | 33/1 | 2.9% |
| Jesse Plemons | 50/1 | 2.0% |
| George Clooney | 66/1 | 1.5% |
Best Film (Musical or Comedy): One Battle After Another 1/20 Odds-On Banker
This is arguably the most one-sided market of the entire show.
One Battle After Another is 1/20 to win Best Film (Musical or Comedy).
The rest of the field sits at double figures, with Marty Supreme at 10/1 and Bugonia at 20/1.
| Best Film (Musical or Comedy) | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| One Battle After Another | 1/20 | 95.2% |
| Marty Supreme | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Bugonia | 20/1 | 4.8% |
| No Other Choice | 25/1 | 3.8% |
| Blue Moon | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Nouvelle Vague | 66/1 | 1.5% |
Best Film (Drama): The Closest Race of the Night
If you want a category with genuine tension, this is it.
Unlike the other markets above, Best Film (Drama) is still competitive, with Sinners 10/11 narrowly ahead of Hamnet 6/4.
That implies this race is still alive and these are the kinds of markets where late momentum (or a strong industry narrative) can still flip the favourite.
| Best Film (Drama) | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sinners | 10/11 | 52.4% |
| Hamnet | 6/4 | 40.0% |
| It Was Just An Accident | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Sentimental Value | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| The Secret Agent | 14/1 | 6.7% |
| Frankenstein | 40/1 | 2.4% |
Where To Bet on Golden Globes Odds
Award shows continue to be one of the most popular novelty markets across betting sites, particularly with the added thrill of last-minute price movement and the ability to spot value based on awards season trends.
For those looking to bet on the Golden Globes markets, Ladbrokes are among the most active in entertainment specials, and you can find more via their OLBG review page here:
You can also explore the best entertainment betting sites and check the latest free bets available across UK betting sites before placing any wagers.
18+. New UK & ROI customers only . Certain deposit methods & bet types excl . Min first £10 win or E/W bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 & get 4 x £10 free bets . Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. No cashout, restrictions + T&C apply.
#ad. 18+, gambleaware.org, T&Cs Apply
