General Election Betting Odds: Reform UK Now Favourite for Most Seats

Reform UK are odds-on favourites to win the most seats at the next General Election, overtaking Labour and the Tories. View latest betting specials, expert predictions and top political bookmakers.
General Election Betting Odds: Reform UK Now Favourite for Most Seats

Gage Skidmore from Peoria, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 <https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0>, via Wikimedia Commons

Jake Ashton
Jake Ashton - Your Betting Odds Guide šŸ‘

I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.

  • Reform UK now 4/5 favourites to win the most seats at the next General Election.
  • Labour fall to 5/2 with Ladbrokes as momentum swings.
  • 2028 remains the most likely year for the next UK General Election.

Reform UK Surge in General Election Betting Market

The political landscape in the UK continues to shift dramatically, and it’s now being reflected in the betting markets. 

Reform UK have moved into 4/5 odds-on favourites to win the most seats at the next General Election, according to UK betting sites.

Despite no official election date being set the recent polling momentum behind Nigel Farage's party has triggered a major odds swing, putting them ahead of both Labour (5/2) and the Conservatives (11/2).

Ladbrokes now give them a massive chance of having the most seats at the next General Election judging by their latest market.

Those odds give an implied probability of 55.6% that Reform UK dominate the election.

Latest General Election Betting Odds

Most Seats at Next General ElectionOddsImplied Probability
Reform UK4/555.6%
Labour5/228.6%
Conservatives11/215.4%
Green Party16/15.9%
Liberal Democrats40/12.4%
Advance UK100/11.0%
What the expert says...
The market has reacted sharply to Reform’s recent polling lead, and we’re now seeing serious money backing them to come out on top in seat numbers. This could be the biggest betting shock since the 2016 referendum!

Jake Ashton - Political Betting Expert - OLBG.com

General Election 2028 At Earliest Still Expected

Despite growing speculation over an earlier vote, 2028 is the earliest year expected for the next UK General Election at 15/8, with 2029 or later now a slight favourite at 10/11.

Some punters continue to back a surprise early election, but 2025 remains a long shot at 100/1.

2026 is 8/1 alongside 2027.

Year of Next General ElectionOddsImplied Probability
2025100/11.0%
20268/111.1%
20278/111.1%
202815/834.8%
2029 or later10/1152.4%

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