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- Bookies put Suella Braverman as the 4/6 favourite in the betting market to win the Fareham and Waterlooville Constituency
- Labour are close second favourites in the betting market to win the seat at 11/10
- Fareham and Waterlooville Constituency will be contested for first time in 2024 General Election
Bookies put Suella Braverman as the 4/6 favourite in the betting market to win the Fareham and Waterlooville Constituency
Constituency betting odds continue to be offered ahead of the UK General Election next month with Suella Braverman's Fareham and Waterlooville Constituency one of many that have odds available.
UK Betting Sites put Braverman and the Conservatives as the odds-on favourites at 4/6 to win the Fareham and Waterlooville Constituency seat but the market is extremely tight.
Labour follow just behind in the odds list at 11/10 with bookies not making Braverman a heavy favourite despite her being odds on to be voted in at the polls on July 4.
Braverman has been MP for Fareham since 2015 after winning massively at the polls on three separate occasions in the General Elections of 2015, 2017 and 2019.
William Hill's latest betting market now says there's an implied probability of 60% that Braverman is voted in as MP in the brand new constituency in Fareham and Waterlooville.
| Fareham and Waterlooville Constituency Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Conservatives (Suella Braverman) | 4/6 | 60.0% |
| Labour | 11/10 | 47.6% |
| Reform UK | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Liberal Democrats | 66/1 | 1.5% |
| Green Party | 250/1 | 0.4% |
What the expert says...
Labour are close second favourites in the betting market to win the seat at 11/10
Gemma Furnivall will be Labour's representative in the polls next month fresh from her winning in Fort Fareham where she became a Labour councillor in the area for the first time in two decades.
Community-led campaigns are being run to try and help Furnivall win in the General Election on July 4 with various comments on one crowd funder saying to "send Suella packing".
The latest betting odds suggest a 47.6% chance that Furnivall is voted in at next month's polls with a 12.4% difference in chance between her and Braverman according to those odds.
Richmond and Northallerton Constituency Betting Odds: Rishi Sunak is 1/5 to hold on to his seat in Richmond and Northallerton with Labour 3/1 to leave PM embarrassed!
Uxbridge and South Ruislip Constituency Betting Odds: Labour are 1/7 to overturn last year's By-Election result in Uxbridge and South Ruislip with a win in the General Election next month!
Fareham and Waterlooville Constituency will be contested for first time in 2024 General Election
Fareham and Waterlooville has been created as a brand new constituency in the 2024 General Election following from the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies.
It now means that Fareham and part of the Meon Valley constituency will form to make this new one with a Tory-dominated area expected to stay that way.
The new constituency of Fareham and Waterlooville is now made up of the following wards:
- The Borough of Fareham wards of: Fareham East; Fareham North; Fareham North-West; Fareham South; Fareham West; Portchester East; Portchester West.
- The Borough of Havant wards of: Cowplain; Hart Plain; Waterloo.
- The City of Winchester wards of: Denmead; Southwick & Wickham.
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