I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Finland strong favourite at 4/6 to win Semi-Final 1
- Greece and Israel lead the chasing pack
- 15 countries compete for 10 places in Grand Final
Vienna Set for Eurovision Semi-Final Spectacle
The Eurovision Song Contest celebrates its 70th anniversary this year, with Vienna hosting the competition at the Wiener Stadthalle. Semi-Final 1 takes place on May 12, with 15 countries competing for just 10 places in the Grand Final.
Germany and Italy will also perform on the night, although, as pre-qualified, they won’t compete but will still vote, adding another layer of intrigue to the qualification picture.
With such a crowded field and only two-thirds progressing, betting sites have already formed strong opinions on who will stand out in the first semi-final.
Ladbrokes latest odds look at who will win the first Semi-Final in a fortnight.
18+. New UK & ROI customers only . Certain deposit methods & bet types excl . Min first ÂŁ10 win or E/W bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 & get 4 x ÂŁ10 free bets . Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. No cashout, restrictions + T&C apply.
#ad. 18+, gambleaware.org, T&Cs Apply
Eurovision Semi-Final 1 Winner Odds
The outright market for Semi-Final 1 shows a clear favourite, with Finland dominating the early betting.
| Eurovision Semi-Final 1 Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Finland | 4/6 | 60.00% |
| Greece | 3/1 | 25.00% |
| Israel | 7/2 | 22.22% |
| Sweden | 10/1 | 9.09% |
| Serbia | 25/1 | 3.85% |
| Moldova | 28/1 | 3.45% |
Finland’s entry “Liekinheitin” has captured early attention, with bookmakers giving it a commanding 60% implied probability of topping the semi-final.
Finland Sets the Standard in Strong Line-Up
There’s little ambiguity at the top of the market. Finland’s combination of performance pedigree and early buzz has made them the standout contender.
Eurovision semi-finals are often shaped by standout staging and memorable hooks, and Finland’s entry appears to tick both boxes.
The relatively short price suggests bookmakers expect them not just to qualify, but to do so comfortably and potentially dominate the scoreboard.
Behind them, Greece and Israel are positioned as the most likely challengers. Both entries have generated early support and sit at single-figure odds, indicating confidence in their ability to secure qualification and possibly push for the semi-final win.
What the expert says...
Running Order and Qualification Battle Adds Intrigue
While outright odds provide a clear hierarchy, Eurovision semi-finals are rarely straightforward.
The running order often plays a crucial role, and with entries ranging from Moldova opening the show to Serbia closing it, momentum could shift throughout the night.
Mid-show performers like Finland and Israel may benefit from strong positioning, while later acts often rely on recency bias in viewer voting.
With only 10 of the 15 competing countries progressing, the middle of the pack becomes especially competitive. Countries like Sweden, Estonia, and Belgium could all be in the mix for qualification depending on live performance impact.
Outright Eurovision Market: Finland Also Leads
Looking beyond Semi-Final 1, Finland’s dominance extends into the overall Eurovision winner market.
| Eurovision 2026 Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Finland | 6/4 | 40.00% |
| Denmark | 11/2 | 15.38% |
| France | 6/1 | 14.29% |
| Australia | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Greece | 7/1 | 12.50% |
| Israel | 12/1 | 7.69% |
Where To Bet on Eurovision Markets
Eurovision betting markets are available across major bookmakers, with Ladbrokes among those offering pricing on both semi-finals and the outright winner.
As always, Eurovision is one of the most dynamic entertainment betting markets, with odds shifting rapidly following rehearsals, live performances, and fan reactions.
Taking advantage of free bets can be particularly useful in markets where momentum changes quickly.
18+. New UK & ROI customers only . Certain deposit methods & bet types excl . Min first ÂŁ10 win or E/W bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 & get 4 x ÂŁ10 free bets . Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. No cashout, restrictions + T&C apply.
#ad. 18+, gambleaware.org, T&Cs Apply
