I break betting odds news as it happens, so you’re never left behind when the market moves or a top offer lands.
- Israel move into 7/2 favouritism for Eurovision 2026.
- Five nations withdraw in protest, reshaping the betting market.
- Finland and Greece sit closest in the outright winner odds.
Israel Shorten as Eurovision Betting Market Reacts
UK betting sites have reacted quickly in the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 winner market, with Israel moving back into outright favouritism after their odds were cut from 5/1 into 7/2.
The shift makes Israel the market leader ahead of Finland (5/1) and Greece (13/2) as the 70th edition of the iconic contest approaches.
Eurovision 2026 will take place at the Wiener Stadthalle in Vienna, Austria, following Austria’s 2025 victory with JJ’s “Wasted Love”.
The event is scheduled for two semi-finals on 12 and 14 May, followed by the grand final on 16 May 2026, hosted by Victoria Swarovski and Michael Ostrowski.
Withdrawals Reshape the Contest Landscape
This year’s build-up has been dominated by off-stage developments. Iceland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Slovenia and Spain have all withdrawn from the contest in protest at Israel’s inclusion, marking one of the largest collective boycotts in Eurovision history, alongside the 1970 edition.
Meanwhile, Bulgaria, Moldova and Romania are returning to the contest after recent absences, adding fresh intrigue to the competitive field.
From a betting perspective, withdrawals inevitably alter the landscape.
Fewer competing nations can impact voting dynamics, diaspora influence and semi-final qualification pathways which are all factors closely monitored by bookmakers.
What the expert says...
Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Winner Odds
Below are the latest outright odds via William Hill, with implied probabilities calculated from the fractional prices.
| Eurovision Song Contest 2026 Winner | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Israel | 7/2 | 22.2% |
| Finland | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Greece | 13/2 | 13.3% |
| Sweden | 8/1 | 11.1% |
| Bulgaria | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Ukraine | 10/1 | 9.1% |
Israel Back on Top After Market Support
Israel’s move into 7/2 favouritism implies a 22.2% probability of lifting the trophy in Vienna.
The shortening from 5/1 suggests renewed market confidence, possibly driven by song quality expectations, diaspora voting strength or speculation around staging and performance.
Eurovision betting markets are highly sensitive to rehearsal reports, fan buzz and early leaks and Israel’s position at the head of the market suggests significant early backing.
Second favourites Finland (5/1) carry a 16.7% implied probability, while Greece (13/2) sit close behind at 13.3%.
Where To Bet on Eurovision 2026
Eurovision outright winner markets are among the most popular entertainment specials on betting sites, with major operators such as William Hill pricing the market early.
Our Best Entertainment Betting Sites page gives a whole host of bookmakers who provide entertainment markets on the biggest events.
