Carabao Cup Winner Odds: Man City Move into 7/4 Favourites After Reaching Semi-Finals

Manchester City are now 7/4 favourites to lift the 2025/26 Carabao Cup following their quarter-final win over Brentford. Newcastle, Chelsea, Arsenal and Palace remain in contention. Latest odds here.
Carabao Cup Winner Odds: Man City Move into 7/4 Favourites After Reaching Semi-Finals
Jake Ashton
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  • Man City now 7/4 favourites after semi-final draw places them against holders Newcastle.
  • Arsenal and Crystal Palace meet next Tuesday to decide Chelsea’s semi-final opponent.
  • Chelsea, Arsenal and Newcastle all sit under 5/1 in a tight market.

Man City Lead the Market After Confident Quarter-Final Win

After a comfortable 2-0 victory over Brentford, Manchester City have surged to the top of the Carabao Cup winner market with bookmakers at 7/4, with Pep Guardiola’s side eyeing another domestic trophy.

City were paired with defending champions Newcastle United in the semi-final draw. 

The two-legged tie begins at St James’ Park, but the bookmakers still make City clear favourites given their pedigree in the competition.

The other semi-final will see Chelsea take on either Arsenal or Crystal Palace, who meet in the final quarter-final clash next Tuesday. 

Arsenal currently sit second in the betting at 12/5, while Palace are big outsiders at 18/1 with bet365.

2025/26 Carabao Cup Winner Odds

Carabao Cup Winner 2025/26
OddsImplied Probability
Man City7/436.4%
Arsenal12/529.4%
Chelsea7/222.2%
Newcastle9/218.2%
Crystal Palace18/15.3%

Two-Legged Semi-Finals Offer Intrigue

With the semi-finals set to be played over two legs once again, home advantage in the first leg may not be as significant, although Newcastle’s record at St James’ Park this season has been strong.

Arsenal and Palace have their sights set on joining Chelsea in the other half of the draw. 

The Gunners have been in excellent domestic form and will go into next week’s tie as strong favourites, potentially setting up a high-stakes London derby in the semi-final.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are chasing their first Carabao Cup win since 2015, and Enzo Maresca may see this competition as the most realistic path to silverware this season.

Expert Insight

What the expert says...
City’s cup dominance is hard to ignore, and even with Newcastle up next, the 7/4 price is understandable. But Arsenal at 12/5 might offer better value if they navigate Palace and face Chelsea.

Jake Ashton - Football Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where To Bet on the Carabao Cup

Fans can bet on outright winners, semi-final ties, and final scorelines through top UK betting sites. 

bet365 currently lead the market for Carabao Cup specials, including goal scorers, correct scores, and outright winner betting.

Be sure to check out the latest offers and free bets through our guide to the best football betting sites ahead of the semi-finals.

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