Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Mayoral Election Odds: Paul Bristow Clear Favourite Ahead of May 1

Paul Bristow leads the betting for the Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Mayoral Election at 1/3. Lorna Dupre and Anna Smith trail as key challengers ahead of Thursday’s crucial local election.
Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Mayoral Election Odds: Paul Bristow Clear Favourite Ahead of May 1
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  • Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Mayoral Election takes place Thursday, May 1, 2025
  • Paul Bristow (Conservative) is the clear 1/3 favourite in the latest mayoral election odds
  • Lorna Dupre (Liberal Democrats) and Anna Smith (Labour) are seen as the main challengers

Bristow Dominates Betting as Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Head to the Polls

With just days to go until the Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Mayoral Election the betting market paints a clear picture with Paul Bristow, the Conservative candidate and former MP for Peterborough, sitting at odds-on favourite to win.

Bristow's campaign has focused heavily on transport improvements, housing, and championing a business-friendly agenda. 

His high-profile name recognition locally and strong Conservative support across rural areas put him firmly in control as voters prepare to cast their ballots.

The latest betting odds from Star Sports given an implied probability of 75% that Bristow is voted in as Mayor on Thursday.

Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Mayoral Election
OddsProbability
Paul Bristow (Conservatives)
1/375.0%
Lorna Dupre (Liberal Democrats)
3/125.0%
Anna Smith (Labour)
7/112.5%
Ryan Coogan (Reform UK)
10/19.1%
Bob Ensch (Greens)
100/11.0%
What the expert says...
Paul Bristow’s dominance in the betting reflects the strength of the Conservative brand in this area, but it’s worth noting that tactical voting and low turnout could still create a tighter-than-expected result. If the Lib Dems consolidate anti-Tory votes, it could get interesting late on.

Can Anyone Stop Bristow?

Lorna Dupre, a Cambridgeshire County Councillor, is priced at 3/1 and is viewed as the likeliest challenger. 

With the Liberal Democrats performing strongly across the East of England in local elections, she could attract tactical votes if anti-Tory sentiment consolidates.

Labour’s Anna Smith, former leader of Cambridge City Council, sits at 7/1.

Labour faces an uphill battle in this particular region but her strong campaign on public services and affordable housing could help tighten the result.

Further back, Ryan Coogan (Reform UK) at 10/1 could impact the Conservative vote share though a win looks unlikely, while Bob Ensch (Greens) at 100/1 remains a distant outsider.

Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK
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Top 10 Political Betting Websites in the UK

Where to Bet on the Cambridgeshire and Peterborough Mayoral Election

Markets for the Cambridgeshire and Peterborough mayoral election are now live at select betting sites, including Star Sports

Whether you're backing the favourite or seeking value on an outsider, there’s still time to take advantage of free bets ahead of Thursday’s vote.

For more tips, insights, and bookmaker comparisons, check out our guide to the top 10 political betting sites.

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