Ballon d'Or 2026 Odds: Kylian Mbappé 2/1 Favourite in World Cup Year

Kylian Mbappé leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or betting at 2/1 in a World Cup year, with Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal close behind in the latest market.
Ballon d'Or 2026 Odds: Kylian Mbappé 2/1 Favourite in World Cup Year
Jake Ashton
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  • Kylian Mbappé is 2/1 favourite to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or.
  • Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal sit second and third in the betting.
  • A World Cup winner is widely expected to claim the award.

Mbappé Heads Ballon d'Or 2026 Betting Market

UK betting sites continue to offer odds on the 2026 Ballon d'Or, with Kylian Mbappé installed as the 2/1 favourite in what promises to be a defining year in world football.

With the World Cup set to dominate the football calendar, bookmakers strongly anticipate that international success will play a decisive role in determining this year’s winner.

Mbappé’s 2/1 price positions him as the early frontrunner across major betting sites reflecting both his individual pedigree and France’s likely status as one of the tournament favourites.

bet365's latest market gives a 33.3% implied probability of Mbappé winning the prestigious award later this year.

Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner Odds

Ballon d'Or 2026 Winner
OddsImplied Probability
Kylian Mbappé2/133.3%
Harry Kane7/222.2%
Lamine Yamal4/120.0%
Declan Rice6/114.3%
Erling Haaland9/110.0%
Michael Olise20/14.8%
Vinícius Jr20/14.8%

World Cup Factor Expected to Decide Race

Historically, Ballon d'Or winners in World Cup years often emerge from the tournament’s standout performers.

If France lift the trophy, Mbappé’s case would become even stronger. 

Likewise, England captain Harry Kane at 7/2 would likely shorten dramatically should England make a deep run.

Spanish teenager Lamine Yamal at 4/1 represents one of the most intriguing contenders. 

A massive World Cup on the global stage will cement his status as football’s next superstar.

Declan Rice at 6/1 reflects his growing stature particularly after a dominant domestic season. 

If England combine club and international success, his price could quickly tighten.

Haaland and the Outside Contenders

Erling Haaland at 9/1 cannot be discounted, especially if Norway surprise on the international stage or if his club exploits continue to dominate headlines.

Michael Olise and Vinícius Jr are priced at 20/1 representing outsider value should either deliver a tournament-defining performance.

However, as it stands, the market suggests this is likely to be decided by World Cup heroics rather than domestic dominance alone.

What the expert says...
In World Cup years, the Ballon d'Or market becomes heavily tournament-driven. Mbappé leading at 2/1 makes sense given his track record on the biggest stage. But if England or Spain lift the trophy, expect Kane or Yamal to shorten dramatically across betting sites.

Jake Ashton - Football Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Where To Bet on the Ballon d'Or Market

The 2026 Ballon d'Or winner market is available across leading uk betting sites including bet365.

For broader awards and specials coverage, explore the best football betting sites.

Markets remain betting live and are expected to fluctuate significantly as the World Cup unfolds.

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