Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites
- Republicans are favourites in Arizona to win the Presidential Election
- Latest aggregate polls put Kamala Harris ahead of Donald Trump in the state
- Harris moves into favourite to win the US Presidential Election in November
Republicans are favourites in Arizona to win the Presidential Election
Betting is now available on how the individual states will vote during the 2024 US Presidential Election with Arizona one of those states that is tight according to the latest odds with Betting Sites.
The Republican Party are just about favourites in the latest betting odds with bookmakers putting them at 4/5 ahead of the Democrats at 10/11 with a small difference in probability between the two parties.
Bookmakers' latest market gives a 55.6% chance of the Republicans winning with Donald Trump hoping to have a win in Arizona with another big turnout expected.
Kamala Harris and the Democrats have a 52.4% chance of winning in Arizona and it's expected that it'll be one of the tightest states that there is.
| 2024 Presidential Election - Arizona | Fractional Odds | Moneyline | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans | 4/5 | -125 | 55.6% |
| Democrats | 10/11 | -110 | 52.4% |
What the expert says...
Latest aggregate polls put Kamala Harris ahead of Donald Trump in the state
Despite how the betting odds currently look, it's Kamala Harris who is polling positively in Arizona according to recent aggregate polls updated on 17 August.
In two separate polls, sourced from 270ToWin and RealClearPolitics, it's Harris who is the favourite with an average of 47.1% against Trump's 46.1% average.
The polls show below are directly from the 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona Wikipedia page.
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Kamala Harris Democratic | Donald Trump Republican | Undecided [a] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | July 22 – August 15, 2024 | August 17, 2024 | 47.5% | 47.3% | 5.2% | Harris +0.2 |
| 270ToWin | July 22 – August 17, 2024 | August 17, 2024 | 46.6% | 44.8% | 8.6% | Harris +1.8 |
| Average | 47.1% | 46.1% | 6.8% | Harris +1.0 | ||
US Presidential Election Specials: Kamala Harris now 5/1 to appear on Hot Ones with odds offered for various politicians to go on the famous show!
Harris moves into favourite to win the US Presidential Election in November
Odds are also offered for the overall winner in the US Presidential Election with Kamala Harris now moving into favourite ahead of Donald Trump in the latest market.
Harris opened up just behind Trump when it was announced that she would be replacing Joe Biden as the Democratic candidate but bookies have now shortened her odds into favourite.
Bet365's latest betting market puts Harris at 4/5 to win with Trump now EVS despite shortening massively after the failed assassination attempt on his life.
| Selection | Probability | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Donald Trump | 57.8% | 1.73 |
| 2 | Kamala Harris | 46.5% | 2.15 |
Political Betting Author Information
Political Betting Expert
Jake Ashton
Senior News Editor
