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Brendan Fraser given 68% Chance to win Best Actor Oscar Award Ahead of Whale Release
- Brendan Fraser -220 favourite to win best actor Oscar in March even before the films general release in December
- Sportsbooks make him favourite to be the first Canadian to ever win this award after 8 previous unsuccessful nominations for Canadian actors
- The film has already won several film festival awards although Best Picture at the academy awards is only +2100
- Betting odds are on offer for a range of actors nominated including English pair Bill Nighy and Christian Bale
Ahead of the Academy Awards taking place in March next year, the build-up and excitement are complimented by the ability to place bets with sportsbooks on who might win some of the major categories.
One of the most prestigious of these of course is the Best Actor Oscar and this year, even ahead of the film's release on December 9th, Canadian actor Brendan Fraser is favoured by betting sites to carry the famous oscar trophy off for his role in Whale and become the first Canadian to ever do so.
The film received a huge response when premiering at the 79th Venice film festival in September and Fraser is tipped to see off the likes of Colin Farrel, Austin Butler, and the English pair Bill Nighy and Christian Bale despite the film itself only being priced at +2100 to win best Picture
Best Actor Oscars Betting
| Actor | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Fraser | -220 | 68.8% |
| Colin Farrell | +240 | 29.4% |
| Austin Butler | +750 | 11.8% |
| Bill Nighy | +1100 | 8.3% |
| Christian Bale | +1400 | 6.7% |
First Best Actor Oscar for a Canadian
If Fraser were to win the award for Actor in a leading role he would be the first Canadian to achieve the accolade, with no fewer than 6 previous actors receiving nominations across 8 different films failing to convert nominations to Oscar trophies.
Brendan Frasers Nomination for Best Actor in a Leading Role at the Academy Awards is only the second Canadian along with Ryan Gosling to have been nominated since 1944. As yet No Canadian Actor has won in this category.
Steve Madgwick - Entertainment Betting Specialist - OLBG.com
The list of unsuccessful peers before him includes Walter Pidgeon and Ryan Gosling
| Actor | Year | Film |
|---|---|---|
| Walter Huston | 1936 | Dodsworth |
| Raymond Massey | 1940 | Abe Lincoln in Illinois |
| Walter Huston | 1941 | The Devil and Daniel Webster |
| Walter Pidgeon | 1942 | Mrs. Miniver |
| Walter Pidgeon | 1943 | Madame Curie |
| Alexander Knox | 1944 | Wilson |
| Ryan Gosling | 2006 | Half Nelson |
| Ryan Gosling | 2016 | La La Land |
The Whale
The Whale is a film from a play by the same name focusing on a father [Charlie - Fraser] who tries to reconnect with his 17-year-old daughter having previously left the family for another man. He is portrayed as a 600lb man who has been binge eating to deal with his combined grief and guilt around his life situation.
The film won three awards at the Venice Film Festival, also prizes from the Mill Valley Film Festival and Montclair Film Festival.
The Whale is a long odds underdog to win the best picture award at the Oscars but that hasn't stopped the performance of Brenda Fraser being noted as he sits as odds on favourite to win the Best Actor in a Leading Role award.
Steve Madgwick - Entertainment Betting Specialist - OLBG.com
Brendan Fraser is nominated for Outstanding Lead performance at the Gotham Awards which take place next week, alongside Hong Chau nominated for outstanding supporting performance at the same ceremony.
Oscars Best Picture Betting Odds
| Film | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| The Fablemans | -105 | 51.2% |
| The Banshees of Inisherin | +340 | 22.7% |
| Everything Everywhere All At Once | +700 | 12.5% |
| Babylon | +1000 | 9.1% |
| Tar | +1000 | 9.1% |
| The Whale | +2100 | 4.5% |
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