4:22 Southwell Tips

James Owen looks the most likely winner of this race, and it's probably the second string, Neptune Legend, who looks the best bet. Running solidly, he probably reacts better to this surface than stablemate Moostar.

Winner at Doncaster in June, who ran really well back from a break a couple of times at Newcastle in October, before being a bit below par here last time. Nudged down a lb for that and drops into Class 6 today, so very much of interest on that basis.

A length behind the re-opposing winner, Neptune Legend, over this trip at Wolverhampton last time out. Didn’t get the clearest of runs in that race and is 2 pounds better off today, with improvement expected on the second start for the new yard.

The 7-year-old is returning from a three-month break and has solid career stats after similar breaks. He hasn’t had a hard year and ran some good races in defeat on turf earlier in the year. He is a previous course winner. He has a career-low mark now and is having his first run at Class 6 level.

This 3yo was beaten less than a length in an AW novice race over this trip as a 2yo just over a year ago and was in and around several future horses in the 75??'80 bracket. He's now racing off his lowest-ever handicap mark of 65 on his second start for a new trainer, who has fitted the tongue tie for the first time. That looks a good move, since progeny of Kodiac have a better record with a tongue tie than with any other type of headgear (or no headgear), and we might well see a return to the form of that novice race, which would surely be good enough to win this.

Dapperling has recently switched yards and put in a promising effort over five furlongs here six days ago. She likes to come late from the back and lacked racing room last time. She's dropped in class and upped in distance today (last win was over 6 furlongs, rated 66), so with luck in running she should be thereabouts running off a mark of 64.

Miss Mendoza has only had four runs at 5f, but was third in the first three of those and could only manage seventh on handicap debut. She was making headway in the final furlong and could improve today now 3 lb lighter and stepping up to 6f. EW 4P

Ottawa was disappointing last time but had a tricky setup with new headgear and now gets a chance to bounce back from a wide draw. She’s down in the weights, handles 6f on the all weather, and if things click again, she’s not without a chance of outrunning her odds.

Has only raced three times this year and not in the greatest of form, but did not embarrass himself in the last race and can build on that. Course and distance winner, so can't be underestimated if back on form. Ten pounds lighter than in last win. Gamble.