JamPizza expert Horse Racing Tips

Andrew Balding won this race last year, and this one looks the value to get the better of the favourite (Time Loop), whose stable isn't showing as much as you'd like to see at the moment. This horse beat King of Cities fair and square last year when getting on top of him close home, and that level of form should be good enough to win this. KOC then won a Group 3 and is rated around 109/110, so you'd have to say that this one is value here off 94 at 9/2.

Whilst I appreciate that this one is taking a hike up the handicap, there's no getting away from some of the rock-solid form, and I think he'll be hard to keep out of the frame here. The win last time out was in a hugely competitive race where several were being backed off the board (Alexei in particular), and that looks like really strong form. There are also real clues in his 2nd of 17 at Punchestown in April, where he was ahead of Irish Panther (who he was giving 10 lb to). Irish Panther has since gone down by just half a length to Romeo Coolio. That is a really strong formline and is enough to get involved at 9/1 here.

There are some incredibly strong stats on breeding for this course. Indeed, this horse won on his only previous run here, which was an easy one from a horse now rated 86. Augustus Gloop races off 82 here, which is the same mark as when he was an unlucky-looking second last time out on seasonal debut. It should be all systems go now (I like the jockey switch too), and this 11/1 shot will surely be a single-figure price at the off.

This horse has gone to a bigger yard now and is undoubtedly well handicapped on the pick of her form for her previous stable. She has gone to a more powerful stable now, and it's interesting that they have wasted no time giving the horse a wind-op and putting the tongue tie on for the first time, since many progeny of Milan do well when it's fitted. The horse won on her only previous start over this unusual trip, and she's won off a 14 lb higher mark in the past. Big chance if the new stable have her fit and ready.