JamPizza expert Horse Racing Tips

The stable is on fire, and this horse is going to have a great chance back at a C&D where she won for this jockey off a 2lb higher mark earlier in the year. That effort clearly gives her every chance here, and she was beaten less than a length over the C&D in the run prior to that. So this is clearly very much her optimal conditions, and the promising apprentice can add to his tally here.

This is real basement stuff in this classified race full of untrustworthy types. But it's often the case in these races for horses of limited ability for them to improve when headgear is applied for the first time. This horse gets a first-time tongue tie, and there's a very interesting sire angle for that particular equipment. The horse's sire has produced 15 wins from 78 runs when it's fitted, which is a strike rate way above the one when no headgear is fitted. Furthermore, unlike many of these, the horse has the form in the book to win this, having won off 50 for his last win.

25/1 looks a crazy price for this class 2 C&D winner. That was admittedly as a 2yo, but this 4yo has run some good races since. That C&D win puts him really well in here off 86 since the win was an easy one, and there were stacks of future winners further back, including future Listed winner Kylian. I like the jockey switch too, and the horse looks a cracking E/W at this price.

This horse's easy win at Dundalk just 2 starts ago is the piece of form which makes me think she has a serious chance here. She basically carried the same weight and clocked the same time as the winner of that race in the previous year, and that horse went on to win off 96 (Little Queenie). Eclairage races off just 88, and the 2nd on turf last time out was also full of promise. The jockey upgrade also suggests the trainer thinks he has the horse on a winnable mark here.