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+833 profit on Horse Racing in the last 6 months
WIN @
This well bred filly starts handicaps here off a mark of 75 after winning on the AW last time out despite showing signs of greenness. She will have strengthened further in the 4 months off and could well be a cut above these so this topweight rates the bet of the day for me at 15/8. Both of her races thus far have seen plenty of horses coming out and winning since and they provide several clues that the horse is ikely to be better than this mark.
EW @
The rebooking of James Bowen is a big plus for me here and this lightly raced horse looks to be on a good mark. She was a good 2nd at Ludlow behind a horse which has done really well at a higher level since and a look at those beaten horses too shows it was a decent race. It's easy to make a case that the horse could well be at least 7lb better than her current mark and the step up in trip also looks certain to suit. I would expect her to be staying on the best at the end and she's going to be hard to keep out of the places I suspect.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.