4:55 Newbury Tips

Hasn't seen the racecourse much so far and starts his four-year-old campaign with just three runs under his belt. He is bred to stay well, and hopefully he can make up for lost time this season when he steps up in distance. He could be worth following.

A nine-race maiden but has been placed on a number of occasions. Had been given a five-month break before his latest run in an 11f race on the AW at Southwell. Should come on for that, can lose that maiden tag before too long, and is worth considering here.

Up against a good horse in Valedictory, but his yard won this last year so they know what is required. Only beaten by 2 lengths last time out and is in excellent form at present.

Twisting Physics goes well fresh and has a limited number of runs to analyse. The latest run was a Class 3 at the track off only a 1 lb higher mark, which he won, beating Chalk Mountain (winner since) and Photosynthesis (ran well yesterday but failed to win afterwards). I think that form may be good enough to be competitive in this. Jamie Spencer is booked on a horse that has made all before. That will be an interesting watch.

Could benefit from the drop in trip and ease in grade after weakening close to home in a Class 2 over 11 furlongs at Kempton last time out.

SPORTING SILVERMINE probably found 14 furlongs too long on reappearance, so I'm prepared to chalk that one off. He should strip fitter for this second run of the campaign from a preferred distance. Pretty consistent last year in Class Two races from higher in the weights, so he should be able to run his race here. Only outside the top four once last season and hopefully back in the shake-up here.

Switches from the Kublers to Harry Charlton, who has a fair 13/36 place strike rate with horses switched to the yard in the last five years. His sole run on turf is one to forget, but his last effort at Southwell under a penalty suggests a potentially well-handicapped horse off a mark of 77. He was giving 6 lbs to a now 80-rated horse there over slightly further than this. The horse behind him won recently (on its next start), and the horse last in that race followed with a win as well. Some better ground looks fine, with a look back through his dam's side, whilst her half-brother acted on a sounder surface. She gets a first-time hood, which is a potential concern, but for one that looks guaranteed to get the trip she’s got a nice low weight in this field, and I think she can go well.