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+1203 profit on Horse Racing in the last year
EW @
Falakiya takes up a fair chunk of the market, being 7/1 bar, and the race looks ripe for an each-way play. So I’m happy to chance Qilin Queen to hit the frame. Her breeding suggests she’ll improve for the step up in trip, and she firmly shaped as if that would be the case last time. She beat Rock Camelot by 7L or so at Salisbury, who was beaten by a lesser distance by a shorter-priced Janey Mackers. So on that alone, she's overpriced. Solid experience in some fair races can stand her in good stead here, and with Buick having a solid record for this trainer, I think there’s enough to like.
EW @
Desert Flower rates a solid favorite here, although this race has eluded Appleby. With the bookies having this as a two-horse race with Lake Victoria, it does open up prices elsewhere. Once-raced Chantilly Lace has some smart entries, and she won willingly on debut in heavy going. That’s a meeting where Beckett has blooded the likes of Bluestocking and Remarquee in the past. Her action suggests to me she could be seen to even better effect on better ground, as indeed did her dam's progeny, Ten Sovereigns, who also acted here. She should appreciate a sound pace with the potential to get further than this, so if she can go the pace, I think she should relish the rising ground.
Profits calculated to a 10 point stake.
Value Rating is based on comparing the odds of a selection to the theoretical probability of winning based on the percentage of tips for it.
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