Jake is a Football and Entertainment betting expert, with a Man City season ticket and a deep knowledge of reality TV betting angles
- Latest betting odds say there's a 20% chance that Donald Trump pulls out of US Presidential race
- Betting market makes it heavily odds-on that he doesn't though and remains in the running
- Other special markets make Trump 175/1 to win the Nobel Peace Prize
Latest betting odds say there's a 20% chance that Donald Trump pulls out of US Presidential race
Donald Trump is in the news yet again this week with more expectations of him being arrested over the US Capitol riot and 2020 elections.
Trump said in a social media post that "Democrat prosecutors waited years to bring charges so they could interfere with the 2024 Presidential election" over on Truth Social.
Bookmakers are offering odds that Trump pulls out of the 2024 Presidential race but those odds suggest there's a slim chance that he does so.
With odds of 4/1 being offered that he pulls out, the implied probability that he does so is at 20%.
| Will Donald Trump announce he is dropping out of the '24 presidential race?
|
Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4/1 | 20.0% |
| No | 1/7 | 87.5% |
What the expert says...
Betting market makes it heavily odds-on that he doesn't though and remains in the running
The latest betting odds say that there's an 87% implied probability that Trump does not drop out of the running for President.
Trump has said that "i'll never leave" when it comes to running for President with The Guardian reporting that he would run no matter what.
This comes with reports that he may face further indictment and he has said that he would campaign from prison if he had to.
Other special markets make Trump 175/1 to win the Nobel Peace Prize
Betting is also open for other special markets including for the 2023 Nobel Peace Prize Trump the biggest outsider with bookies at 175/1 to win the award.
Trump has perhaps surprisingly been nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize before with Norwegian Christian Tybring-Gjedde putting him up the award back in 2021 for helping broker a deal between Israel and the United Arab Emirates.
This was the second time that Tybring-Gjedde nominated him for the award with the Norwegian also doing so back in 2019 for his work with North Korea according to Reuters.
