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- Current Secretary of State for Defence Grant Shapps is expected to lose Welwyn Hatfield seat according to bookies
- Labour's Andrew Lewin is heavy favourite in the betting market to take over from Shapps
- Odds given on both Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer's seats at the upcoming election
Current Secretary of State for Defence Grant Shapps is expected to lose Welwyn Hatfield seat according to bookies
Constituency Betting odds continue to be offered ahead of the UK General Election next month with betting sites giving odds on Welwyn Hatfield as one of hundreds ahead of July 4's polling date.
Secretary of State for Defence Grant Shapps will be running for the Welwyn Hatfield seat once again at the upcoming election after holding the constituency ever since 2005.
The last election in Welwyn Hatfield took place in 2019 with Shapps having a majority of nearly 11,000 which means Labour have a massive amount of overturn at the upcoming polls.
William Hill think that's extremely likely to happen though with Shapps now as big as 5/1 to win the election next month with Labour heavy favourites at 1/9 to win.
| Welwyn Hatfield Constituency Winner | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Labour | 1/9 | 90.0% |
| Conservatives (Grant Shapps) | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Reform UK | 80/1 | 1.2% |
| Liberal Democrats | 100/1 | 1.0% |
| Green Party | 250/1 | 0.4% |
What the expert says...
Labour's Andrew Lewin is heavy favourite in the betting market to take over from Shapps
Labour candidate Andrew Lewin is the big favourite in the betting market to be voted in at next month's election with the latest market putting him as 1/9 to win the seat.
Those odds suggest a 90% chance that he makes a massive swing at the upcoming election and wins ahead of Grant Shapps.
Melanie Johnson was the last Labour politician in Welwyn Hatfield with the politician serving under Tony Blair as an MP from 1997 to 2005 when she was beaten by Shapps at the polls.
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Odds given on both Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer's seats at the upcoming election
It's not just running for Prime Minister that is on the cards next month, with Rishi Sunak and Sir Keir Starmer both also running for their individual seats.
The difference in odds for both Sunak and Starmer winning is considerable with Labour only 3/1 in Sunak's constituency of Richmond and Northallerton to win next month.
Starmer on the other hand is 1/250 to win his seat in Holborn and St Pancras with Independent candidate Andrew Feinstein the only contender according to the latest odds with the South African 33/1.
Richmond and Northallerton Constituency Betting Odds: Rishi Sunak is 1/5 to hold on to his seat in Richmond and Northallerton with Labour 3/1 to leave PM embarrassed!
Holborn and St Pancras Constituency Betting Odds: Sir Keir Starmer is HEAVY FAVOURITE to gain his seat once again with 0.5% chance he loses according to the odds!
Political Betting Author Information
Political Betting Expert
Jake Ashton
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